Mountain Weather Expert Forecasts 350-400″ of Snow for Tahoe This Winter:

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Squaw Valley, CA. March 2011. photo: miles clark/snowbrains
Squaw Valley, CA. March 2011. photo: miles clark/snowbrains

“I’m forecasting for Lake Tahoe roughly 350-400 inches.” – Chris Tomer told the Tahoe Daily Tribune

Chris Tomer is a mountain weather expert and mountaineer from Denver who has done weather forecasting for over 50 mountaineering ski expeditions all over the globe.  He also does the local Colorado weather on TV for both KDVR FOX-31 and KWGN CW-2.

“Heavenly, Squaw, Sierra-at-Tahoe, dropping down to Northstar, then you start to really get on the margins.”

“I’m not confident with Kirkwood and down to Mammoth. Certainly the resorts tucked in close to the lake will do well and all the way up to Shasta and the Pacific Northwest.” – Chris Tomer told the Tahoe Daily Tribune

Chris Tomer & friend ready to make some turns down The Citadel, a 13er along the Continental Divide in Colorado. photo: chris tomer
Chris Tomer & friend ready to make some turns down The Citadel, a 13er along the Continental Divide in Colorado. photo: chris tomer

NOAA has stated that there is a 55-60% chance of La Nina this winter and they’ve issued a La Nina Watch.

image: noaa
image: noaa

Check out Chris Tomer’s resume:

– Present (11 years 5 months)

I provide accurate, tailored forecasts for mountaineers & skiers.

In the past 10 years i’ve helped put over 50 Teams on mountain summits around the world including Mount Everest. My track record is solid with a summit success rate of 98%.

No corners are cut. Every effort is made to scrutinize every forecast and to only use the best data. Give yourself every advantage.

These are not bulk forecasts. I don’t use zip code or point-and-click forecast gimmicks. Each forecast I deliver is distilled and tailored for the client. This kind of expertise leads to highly informed decision making.

I present the best summit windows including all the Pros and Cons. But, I always defer to the Team on the mountain.

My strategy is to find the right tool for the Mountain. I don’t use 10 different forecast models. I know which ones perform best. I understand the forecast biases for each Mountain.

My imagination is an asset. I’m also a mountaineer so I can imagine what conditions are actually like on the mountain. I have the pulse of the climber.

Previous forecasting jobs include Mount Everest (2012, 2015), Gasherbrum I (2013), Gasherbrum II (2013), Nanga Parbat (2013), Shishapangma (2014), Cho Oyo (2014), Denali (2009, 2013, 2014, 2015), Peak Lenin (2014), Aconcagua (2010, 2014), Point 11,300 Alaska (2014), Kilimanjaro (2014), all of Colorado’s 14ers, all of California’s 14ers, and Rainier (2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014).

 


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8 thoughts on “Mountain Weather Expert Forecasts 350-400″ of Snow for Tahoe This Winter:

  1. Is this forecast for 6,200ft or 8,400ft. Over the past few years we’ve seen 150+ inch differences between the two elevations in the basin. Just curious

  2. I believe the forecast is quite accurate. I used to live in Lassen County (north of Tahoe) for 12 years and moved to Tuolumne County 4 years ago. We had heavy snows (4 feet or more) in Lassen County every fourth or fifth year – 2001; 2005; 2009 and I believe 2011 (I was moving). Looking at the timeline after I moved to Tuolumne County, I realized 2015 was the 4th or 5th year and invested in a snowblower on clearance at Sears in Sonora. The salesman snickered at us but we got the last laugh on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day when we had to plow our driveway as our neighbors shoveled their way. I am hopeful this year will have a heavier snowfall as it would mark the 5th year. Our poor pine trees have been ravished by the bark beetle and need the extra moisture. The snow pool will soon be up at our local cafe for our predictions – first day of at least 4 inches of snow. I missed one year by one day. Thank you for the prediction!

  3. I think Todd Cory is splitting hairs,most intelligent people understand the difference between mount Shasta and Shasta city .

  4. “I’m not confident with Kirkwood and down to Mammoth. Certainly the resorts tucked in close to the lake will do well and all the way up to Shasta and the Pacific Northwest.”

    Should I trust the forecast of a person who doesnt know the difference between “Shasta” a small town by Redding, or “Mount Shasta”?

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