Utah Avalanche Center’s Official Winter Outlook for the Wasatch

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El Nino 2015/16 predictions by someone who is not the Utah Avalanche Center.
El Nino 2015/16 predictions by someone who is not the Utah Avalanche Center.

Will the Wasatch get a big winter this Strong El Nino year?  Will they?  800 inches of snow this winter?  1,000 inches?

The legendary avalanche forecaster Bruce Tremper from the Utah Avalanche Center knows:

NOAA’s precipitation outlook for winter 2015/16.
NOAA’s precipitation outlook for winter 2015/16.

UTAH AVALANCHE CENTER’S OFFICIAL STRONG EL NINO FORECAST FOR UTAH:

 

It’s that time of year when everyone asks me, “What kind of winter are we going to have.”

I always give the same answer: “We will get what we get.  If anyone could reliably forecast long term weather, they could be fabulously wealthy.”

“But this is a big El Nino year.  It’s supposed to be HUGE!”

“Nope,” I reply, “Neither El Nino nor La Nina have any correlation to northern Utah because we are on the boundary between the two regimes. It’s supposed to be wet to the south of us and dry to the north of us.  Here, we’ll just get what we get.”

“But the Farmer’s Almanac said….”

“Sorry,”  I reply, “All the scientific, statistical studies of the Farmer’s Almanac along with everything you read on the covers of the tabloids in the grocery store show absolutely no correlation.  We’ll just get what we get.”

So sorry to break it to you once again.  Just relax and enjoy whatever comes.

– Bruce Tremper/UAC

psst. hopefully it's like this this winte.. poo! [Photo: Teague Holmes/snowbrains, Skier: Aaron Rice]
psst. hopefully it’s like this this winte.. poo! [Photo: Teague Holmes/snowbrains, Skier: Aaron Rice]

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