[VIDEO] Wetter West, Warmer North: Inside the Direct Weather Winter 2026-27 Forecast The Direct Weather Winter 2026-27 forecast is flipping the script: after two straight La Niña winters, the pattern is turning. Forecasters are watching what could become the strongest El Niño ever recorded; and by a fairly wide margin. That alone makes the season ahead historic no matter how it plays out. The catch is that once an El Niño gets […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 3, 2026 0 Comments
Atmospheric Rivers: How They Work, and How El Niño and La Niña Affect Them How atmospheric rivers work matters for skiers because these storms can deliver heavy mountain snow in a short window while also raising snow levels. SnowBrains tracks new western storm setups in our weather coverage. This article was originally published on climate.gov When rivers reach the sky Guest co-author Dr. Kai-Chih Tseng is a postdoctoral research scientist at Princeton University and […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 5, 2023 0 Comments
How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2021/22 Winter Outlook Some would call it the most famous annual March tradition. No, I’m not talking about March Madness or St. Patrick’s Day. I’m talking about our annual look back at the Climate Prediction Center’s Winter Outlook to see how well it did. Warning: Some math will follow. At the ENSO Blog, we’re not the types to simply give you a thumbs […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 8, 2022 1 Comment
NOAA February 2022 ENSO Update: La Niña Is Likely to Hang Around Through the Spring La Niña is likely to hang around through the spring, with a transition to neutral favored for the May–July period. Hop in, and we’ll cruise through some updates on current conditions and the recent past! On the road again The November–January average Oceanic Niño Index, that is, the three-month-average sea surface temperature anomaly in the Niño-3.4 region of the tropical […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 11, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA: ENSO as a Climate Conductor for Global Crop Yields This is a guest post on the climate.gov ENSO blog by Weston Anderson (@HydroClim) who is an assistant research scientist with the Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center at the University of Maryland and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, where he works with the Famine Early Warning System team. A couple of weeks ago, NOAA issued a La Niña Watch based on the possible development of a La […] WeatherBrains | July 23, 2021 0 Comments
How Does El Niño Influence Snowfall Over the United States? This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog in November 2023 and was written by Nat Johnson. After the last three winters of La Niña conditions (weren’t we all ready for a change!), the tropical Pacific is looking much different this year, with a strong El Niño likely this winter (1). Historically, how has El Niño shaped precipitation (rainfall + snowfall) over the U.S.? […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 5, 2026 0 Comments
[VIDEO] Direct Weather Summer 2025 Forecast: West and Southwest to See Record Heat The latest video from Direct Weather provides a detailed summer 2025 weather forecast, focusing on June, July, and August. The video explains that the forecast is based on several seasonal models. It highlights that the information is pre-recorded as part of a broader series covering all seasons, including upcoming fall and winter outlooks. Related: NOAA April 2025 ENSO Update: […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 15, 2025 0 Comments
How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2022/23 Winter Outlook Don’t look now, but it’s winter outlook verification time! A time when I like to take readers on a statistical sojourn, a mathematical migration, through last year’s winter outlook. By the end of this post, you’ll have been provided with a non-alcoholic, numbered nightcap in the form of an answer to the question, “How did the winter outlook do?” (Sorry. […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 24, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update: Another Winter in La Niña’s Grip? – November Update to 2022-23 Winter Outlook While it’s a little intimidating to put on these oversized shoes, I’m forging ahead in an annual ENSO Blog tradition and giving you all the juicy details about NOAA’s Winter Outlook (1). Regular readers may remember that Mike Halpert of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has been the blog’s winter outlook guru for years, but following Mike’s retirement earlier […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 23, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA: Preliminary Analysis Concludes Pacific Northwest Heatwave Was a 1,000-Year Event… Hopefully This post first appeared on climate.gov and was written by Rebecca Lindsey An international team of weather and climate experts known as the “World Weather Attribution” project has analyzed the late June heatwave in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and come to a preliminary conclusion that the event was a roughly 1-in-1,000-year event in today’s climate. (The results are preliminary because, […] WeatherBrains | July 21, 2021 0 Comments
NOAA Analyzes Their Own Winter Outlook | How Accurate Do You Think Their Winter Forecast Was? The article first appeared on the NOAA ENSO blog and was written by Tom Di Liberto Normally I start off blog posts with some poorly done joke. But in light of what’s going on in 2020, I’d first like to say that I hope all of our readers stay safe and healthy. We write about climate science not only because […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 26, 2020 0 Comments