AccuWeather Forecasters Predict a Guaranteed White Christmas in These Areas

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Probability of a white Christmas. | Image: AccuWeather
Probability of a white Christmas. | Image: AccuWeather

AccuWeather forecasters predict a guaranteed White Christmas across the central and northern Rockies, with solid chances near the Great Lakes and higher Appalachians. A pending storm between December 23 and 25 could deliver timely snow to parts of the central and eastern U.S., though warm air threatens to melt earlier accumulations. Snow lovers define a White Christmas as at least one inch on the ground by December 25, including fresh falls that day.

“The start of the winter season was remarkably cold and snowy for millions of people this year. That frigid and stormy pattern is not sticking around for the holidays,” AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Expert Paul Pastelok said.

Rockies and Great Lakes Lead Odds

Higher elevations from Wyoming through Colorado lock in snow cover with 40-75% probabilities extending to nearby lowlands. Lake-effect snowbelts downwind of the Great Lakes ensure ground cover on Christmas morning, while New England ridges boost prospects. The Sierra Nevada and Cascades join the Midwest and interior Northeast as top contenders.

Warmup Threatens Early Snowpack

A warmup sweeps the Plains ahead of Christmas week, pushing east and erasing snow from the December 13-14 storm in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic coasts. Thicker packs in colder zones hold through the holiday, but southern and central regions face lower odds overall. AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Expert Paul Pastelok notes fresh blankets may wilt before the storm arrives.

Storm Track Holds Key

Pastelok flags the December 23-25 system as pivotal, with its path deciding snow surges north of Interstate 80. Areas south risk rain, though trailing flurries or dustings could still evoke holiday cheer without hitting the one-inch mark. The forecast starts with a cold, snowy December and transitions to milder patterns.

Christmas weather. | Image: AccuWeather
Christmas weather. | Image: AccuWeather

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