Lake Tahoe 2016/17 Winter Outlook by OpenSnow.com: 85%-92% of Average Snowfall

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Sugar Bowl, CA on December 14th, 2014.  photo:  sugar bowl
Sugar Bowl, CA on December 14th, 2014. photo: sugar bowl

Bryan Allegretto of OpenSnow.com is calling for 85-92% of average snowfall in Lake Tahoe, CA/NV this 2016/17 winter.

“I think 85-92% of average snowfall for this upcoming season is a good starting point. What happens with the warm blob and where the ridge sits near the West Coast this Winter will also be a factor to watch.” – Bryan Allegretto/OpenSnow.com on August 22nd, 2016

85-92% of 500″ (Kirkwood & Sugar Bowl’s average annual snowfall) is 425″-460″.

85-92% of 450″ (Squaw Valley’s average annual snowfall) is 383-414″.

We’ll take that!

The amazingly deep snows in Lake Tahoe, CA in 2011 (which was a La Nina...) photo: miles clark/snowbrains
Squaw Valley, CA in 2011 (a moderate La Nina…) photo: miles clark/snowbrains

Bryan gets into LOTS of detail in his forecast and explains exactly why he’s forecasting 85-92% on OpenSnow.com.

“What I like to do for the Winter forecast is to look back historically at Winters that had conditions similar to what we are expecting for this upcoming Winter, and then looking at what kind of snowfall we saw. That has worked fairly well in the past.”- Bryan Allegretto/OpenSnow.com on August 22nd, 2016

image:  uc berkeley snowlab
image: uc berkeley central sierra snowlab

Bryan has been pretty accurate in his previous winter outlooks for Lake Tahoe.

When Bryan delivers his winter outlook for Lake Tahoe, we listen.

Typical La Nina winter weather pattern for North America.  image:  noaa
Typical La Nina winter weather pattern for North America. image: noaa

In case you hadn’t heard, NOAA canceled La Nina last month, which is changing many winter outlooks in the USA.  


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