NOAA March, April, May Outlook | Don’t Hold Your Breath for Miracle March

WeatherBrains | | WeatherWeather
MAM temperature outlook. Credit: NOAA

Yesterday, the NOAA released its outlook for the upcoming spring season. For those expecting a Miracle March to save the ski season, don’t hold your breath!

The full discussion is below:

The March-April-May (MAM) 2022 temperature outlook favors above-normal seasonal mean temperatures from the Southwest, across the Central and Southern Plains, to most of the eastern half of the contiguous U.S. The largest probabilities, exceeding 60 percent, for above-normal temperatures are forecast across the Rio Grande Valley. Probabilities of below normal temperatures are elevated for parts of the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, and southeastern Alaska.

The MAM 2022 precipitation outlook favors below-normal seasonal precipitation amounts from southern California and the Southwest to western areas of the central and southern Great Plains, and along the Gulf Coast into the Atlantic Coast of the Southeast. Below normal precipitation is favored for coastal southern Mainland Alaska and the Alaska Panhandle. Above normal seasonal precipitation amounts are likely for parts of the Midwest, the northern Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, and much of northern and western Mainland Alaska. Equal chances (EC) are forecast for areas where seasonal mean temperatures and seasonal accumulated precipitation amounts are expected to be similar to climatological probabilities.

MAM precipitation outlook. Credit: NOAA

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