NOAA just released their official outlook for the month of March in the USA. They continue to follow an El Nino influenced pattern of above average precipitation in the southern half of the USA and above average temperatures in the northern half of the USA.
As of right now the places with the most snowfall this season in North America are all on the West Coast:
- Alyeska, AK = 563″
- Mt. Baker, WA = 413″ (as of Feb. 10th)
- Timberline Lodge, OR = 383″
- Crystal Mountain, WA = 384″
- Sugar Bowl, CA = 380″
This March Outlook Looks Good for:
- CA, NV, CO, AZ, NM, and AK. The only issue is going to be snow levels in the coastal states of CA and AK, but that isn’t abnormal, especially as we move into spring.
This March Outlook Looks Bad for:
- WA, OR, MT, ID, and WY where below average precipitation is forecast along with above average temperatures. That said, Baker in WA continues to get dumped on and has the 2nd most snow in North America, and they just got 8″ of snow overnight… East Coast ski country has above average temps forecast along with equal chances for precipitation for most ski areas.
Above Average Precipitation is Forecast in March for:
- New Mexico
Below Average Precipitation is Forecast in March for:
FULL MARCH BREAKDOWN FROM NOAA:
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR MONTHLY OUTLOOK NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 830 AM EST THU FEB 18 2016 30-DAY OUTLOOK DISCUSSION FOR MARCH 2016 THE ONGOING, STRONG EL NINO IS THE EXPECTED PRIMARY DRIVER OF THE CLIMATE OVER NORTH AMERICA IN MARCH. THE CURRENT EL NINO EVENT IS AMONG THE STRONGEST EVENTS IN THE OBSERVATION RECORDS. WHILE THE STRENGTH OF THE EVENT IS PREDICTED TO DECREASE IN BOREAL SPRING, IT IS PROBABLE THAT EL NINO CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN STRONG IN MOST OF MARCH. THE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS OF DYNAMICAL MODELS AND STATISTICAL TOOLS ALL INDICATE IMPACTS OF THE EL NINO. ENHANCED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE PREDICTED ALONG THE WEST COAST AND OVER MUCH OF THE WEST, EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES TO NEW ENGLAND AND THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC. ALASKA IS PREDICTED TO HAVE ENHANCED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXCEED 60 PERCENT FOR SOUTHERN ALASKA AND THE ALASKA PANHANDLE, AS WELL AS FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ARE PREDICTED ACROSS MUCH OF CALIFORNIA, THE SOUTHWEST, CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, AND ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTS, AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN MAINE, AND ALSO FOR SOUTHERN COASTAL ALASKA. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ARE FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, EXCEEDING 60 PERCENT. BELOW-MEDIAN PRECIPITATION IS MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES, AND FROM THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION, AND MUCH OF WEST AND INTERIOR ALASKA. THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN AS PREDICTED BY THE NMME CLOSELY MATCHES THE MARCH IMPACTS OF EL NINO.