Weather
This forecast is brought to you by Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, and was created at 8:15 a.m. on Sunday, February 15, 2026.
Two storms should deliver 10″-16″ of new snow at Jackson Hole from Monday night through Thursday night, with snow quality improving sharply after the warm first wave. Sunday and Monday stay mostly dry with a mild, breezy feel, then the pattern turns active late Monday night. The first system runs warmer with higher snow levels and stronger ridge winds, then the midweek system comes in colder with much lighter, fluffier snow. After Thursday, the Tetons keep a decent chance of more snow through the weekend and early next week, though the details become less reliable and totals harder to pin down.
Monday night through Tuesday brings the first wave, with snow arriving late Monday and stacking up 5″-7″ before tapering later Tuesday. All models converge well on the timing, and they also line up on snow levels starting near 6,000 feet to 7,000 feet Monday evening before dropping below the 6,311 feet base elevation overnight. That supports a denser start on the lower mountain, while the upper mountain stays snow and turns colder faster near the 10,450 feet summit. Snow-to-liquid ratios run mostly in the 10-14:1 range during the core of the storm, so expect fairly good snow with a heavier feel early and lighter bursts as colder air settles in. The models diverge more on intensity and wind impacts, with the GFS generally snowier and a couple of solutions showing exposed-ridge gusts pushing 50 to 60 mph at times, which could make the upper mountain feel rowdy during the peak Tuesday morning push.
Wednesday into Thursday reloads the Tetons with colder air and another 5″-8″ of snow that should ski light and dry. Guidance is tightening on this one, with better agreement on timing, lower snow levels, and lighter winds than the Tuesday system. Snow levels remain well below the base for most of the event, and temperatures trend colder, keeping conditions supportive of top-to-bottom snow. Snow-to-liquid ratios generally sit in the 16-20:1 range, so this storm has the best odds of delivering that classic, low-density Teton refresh. The main spread is in storm intensity and how long the steadiest snow persists into Thursday, with the GFS leaning a bit more aggressively than the ECMWF and GDPS, while ICON and AIFS land in the middle.
Friday through the middle of next week stays active enough to add another 3″-10″, but confidence drops once the Thursday storm exits. The overall signal favors additional snow chances, yet the models diverge on timing, intensity, snow levels, and wind impacts once you get past Thursday, so it makes sense to think in terms of smaller windows rather than a single clean storm. Several solutions keep light snow going at times Friday into Saturday, and another round of snow appears around Tuesday into Wednesday in some guidance, while other runs lean quieter. The bigger-picture pattern still supports a generally wetter-than-normal stretch for the northern Rockies, so odds stay decent that Jackson Hole adds more fresh turns, even as the day-to-day details keep shifting.
Resort Forecast Totals (Mon February 16 – Thu February 19)
- Jackson Hole – 10″-16″
