Weather
This forecast was created at 8:15 a.m. on Sunday, February 15, 2026.
Light snow early in the week sets the stage, and storm potential ramps up late in the week, with a wide range of outcomes for northern New England. Through Thursday, most ski areas in Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, and southern Quebec see periodic refreshers with temperatures cold enough to keep snow on the menu. At the same time, the Upper Great Lakes stay favored for more persistent snow showers. After that, guidance diverges on the track, intensity, and warmth of a larger system, which creates significant uncertainty in totals and whether some lower elevations receive wetter snow. The overall late-February signal still supports additional chances for snow beyond that storm window, so this doesn’t look like a one-and-done pattern.
From Monday through Thursday, most New England mountains should land in the 1″-6″ range, with the steadiest accumulations focused in Vermont and the White Mountains. Snowfall comes in waves rather than one clean hit, with light snow Monday into Tuesday and another round of mountain snow showers Wednesday into Thursday. The models generally agree on the on-and-off cadence, but diverge on where the higher-end pockets are located, especially across central and southern Vermont. Snow levels stay low enough for mostly snow at the resorts, although a few solutions briefly lift snow levels toward about 2,000 to 2,500 feet during the warmest pulses. SLRs mainly run around 10 to 14:1 for moderate to fair snow quality, with occasional higher SLR bursts when colder air filters in midweek.
The Upper Great Lakes have the best midweek odds for a bigger refresh, with Mt. Bohemia favored for 8″-12″ by late Thursday. Snowfall there appears more persistent than in New England, with long-duration snow showers from Wednesday into Thursday as the lake-effect machine remains active. The models converge on a prolonged window, but diverge on intensity and exact wind direction, which significantly affects where the best bands lock in. Snow levels sit near the lake level for most of this stretch, and temperatures support all snow. SLRs trend lower than classic champagne powder, generally 7 to 13:1 for dense to moderate snow quality, with better turns when ratios creep into the low to mid teens. Winds also look notable at times, with periods of strong gusts that can make exposed terrain feel rowdy.
Late Friday through early next week, a larger storm could deliver 6″-24″ across parts of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, and models still show meaningful spread in track, snow levels, and wind impacts. The ECMWF and the AIFS lean toward a solid storm with more moderate totals, while the GFS and the GDPS have substantially snowier versions in play, especially for upslope-favored terrain. Thermal profiles remain a key question, since some solutions flirt with snow levels rising toward the upper mountain for a time, which would tilt snow quality toward denser snow at lower elevations. Colder solutions keep snow levels pinned low and improve quality, with SLRs ranging from roughly 8 to 16:1, depending on the storm phase. Winds could also become a bigger factor on ridgelines if the deeper solutions verify. After that main window, some guidance hints at another reload near the end of the forecast period, and the broader late-month signal keeps additional snow chances on the table, but details remain low confidence.
Resort Forecast Totals: Mon Feb 16 – Thu Feb 19
- Mt. Bohemia – 8″-12″
- Killington – 4″-6″
- Sugarbush – 3″-5″
- Stowe – 3″-4″
- Cannon Mountain – 2″-3″
- Jay Peak – 2″-3″
- Loon Mountain – 1″-2″
- Bretton Woods – 1″-2″
- Mont Sainte-Anne – 1″-2″
- Wildcat – 1″-2″
- Sunday River – 1″
- Sugarloaf – 0″-1″
