SnowBrains Forecast: 18″ of Lake Effect Snow for the Midwest and Northeast

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Credit: WeatherBell

This forecast was created at 9:30 a.m. PST on Tuesday, November 25, 2025.

Cold air chasing a midweek storm flips the pattern from rain to snow across the high terrain, with a major early-season dump at Michigan’s Mount Bohemia and lighter but high-quality refreshes for the northern Greens and Whites late in the week. Bohemia is on track for roughly 12″–17″ of storm snow by Sunday, most of it falling Tuesday night through Friday with strong winds and improving snow quality as temperatures drop. In northern Vermont and New Hampshire, Thursday night through Saturday brings a modest 1″–5″ across the open ski areas, with the best turns likely Friday into early Saturday when temperatures are in the teens and 20s, and snow-to-liquid ratios in the low to mid teens yield soft, chalky surfaces. A colder and generally active pattern looks to hang on into the first week of December, so early-season base building should continue.

Tuesday night through Friday brings a powerful early-season storm to Mount Bohemia and the western Upper Peninsula, burying the closed resort in heavy, wind-driven snow. Snow starts Tuesday night with temperatures near freezing at the 600-foot base, so the first few inches will be dense and wet. Snow-to-liquid ratios sit near 5–8:1 through Wednesday, then climb into the low to mid teens by Thursday night and Friday as temperatures fall into the lower 20s, steadily improving snow quality, especially toward the 1,500-foot summit. Snow levels drop below the base after the initial period, so everything that falls on the hill sticks. Northeast to north winds run around 30–35 mph with gusts up to roughly 60–65 mph at times, keeping visibility low and loading leeward aspects. By Friday night, this first storm delivers on the order of 11″–14″ of snow to Mount Bohemia, with a lighter follow-up wave Saturday into Sunday adding another 2″–3″ for a weekend total near 12″–17″, while some nearby snow belts could see even higher regional totals.

Farther east in Vermont, a mild, showery midweek pattern flips to snow on the higher peaks of the northern Greens from Thursday night into Saturday. Ahead of the front, Wednesday runs warm, with rain at all elevations and highs well into the 40s and 50s, so there is little fresh snow for the slopes. Once colder air arrives, snow levels fall to the valleys and temperatures at Sugarbush, Stowe, and Jay Peak settle in the upper teens to lower 20s. Snow-to-liquid ratios during this window are generally in the 11–13:1 range, edging toward 15:1 by Saturday, so snow quality trends from reasonably supportable to noticeably drier toward the end of the event. West to northwest winds of 20–30 mph with higher summit gusts to around 60–70 mph will keep ridge tops feeling midwinter, and may leave the best surface conditions in somewhat sheltered mid-mountain and treeline zones at the open Vermont areas.

Storm totals in northern Vermont look modest but useful, with the open northern Green resorts seeing a light but skiable refresh focused on Thursday night and Friday night. Jay Peak stands out with roughly 3″–5″ of accumulation from Thursday night through Saturday, while Stowe picks up about 2″–4″ and Sugarbush closer to 1″–2″. All of this falls as snow from base to summit, given snow levels at or below valley floors through the event. The combination of mid-teen temperatures at the summits near 3,800–4,400 feet and mid-range SLRs should produce soft, chalky surfaces rather than true blower powder, with the driest feel arriving late Friday into early Saturday. Winds ease a bit by Saturday, so that day should offer the most comfortable riding experience where terrain is open, even though the bulk of the accumulation has already fallen.

Across New Hampshire’s Whites, the same late-week upslope event drops a light refresh on the high terrain from Thursday night through Saturday while winds stay brisk out of the west and northwest. Earlier in the week, rain dominates Tuesday night and Wednesday, but after the front passes, snow levels crash and the summits remain below freezing. Bretton Woods and Cannon Mountain, both open, should see a general 1″–3″ of accumulation centered on Friday and Friday night, with locally closer to 2″–3″ along the higher ridges where SLRs run around 13–15:1 for fairly nice, chalky turns. Loon Mountain and Wildcat, currently closed, pick up a similar coating of about 1″–2″, quietly helping early-season base building on north and west aspects. Winds here run 15–25 mph with gusts 30–40 mph, strongest on Friday, so exposed upper-mountain zones will feel raw even with relatively small totals.

Looking past this stretch, the broader pattern favors colder-than-normal and generally active weather for both the Northeast and the western Upper Peninsula as November ends and early December begins. Multiple shots of Arctic air are expected to spill south, keeping temperatures below average from the Upper Great Lakes through New England while a steady parade of disturbances maintains chances for additional light to moderate snow. For the northern Greens and Whites, that pattern points to continued opportunities for upslope snow showers and occasional small systems, gradually building the base at open mountains like Jay Peak, Stowe, Sugarbush, Bretton Woods, and Cannon Mountain. Around Mt. Bohemia and the rest of the nearby snow belts, lingering lake-effect and wraparound snow showers should taper this weekend, but another weaker system late in the weekend or early next week could add a few more inches. The overall signal is for winter to stay locked in rather than any prolonged thaw.

Resort Forecast Totals

  • Mount Bohemia – 12″–17″ total (11″–14″ Tue night (11/25) – Fri night (11/28) + 2″–3″ Sat (11/29) – Sun (11/30))
  • Jay Peak – 3″–5″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat (11/29)
  • Stowe – 2″–4″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat (11/29)
  • Bretton Woods – 2″–3″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat night (11/29)
  • Sugarbush – 1″–2″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat (11/29)
  • Loon Mountain – 1″–2″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat (11/29)
  • Wildcat – 1″–2″ Fri (11/28) – Sat (11/29)
  • Cannon Mountain – 1″–2″ Thu night (11/27) – Sat (11/29)

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