Forecast By SnowBrains Meteorologist – Eric McNamee
9:05 AM MST, Nov. 27, 2020
A robust closed low over the desert southwest will bring 2-6″ of snow to the mountains of New Mexico.
Taos and Ski Santa Fe ski resorts will receive snowfall totals in this range, with Ski Santa Fe likely seeing more.
Conditions will clear out Monday before another system moves into the area Tuesday and Wednesday.
The Mountains of New Mexico will see 2-6″ of snow as a robust closed low moves through the area.
The center of the low is currently swirling over eastern Arizona and is expected to move to the east towards New Mexico tonight.
As it does so, the minimal moisture associated with it will move into the state.
High winds are also expected with this system, so blowing snow will be present in parts of the state.
Because of this, Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for areas of the state.
A very dynamic storm system taking shape over AZ already shows an impressive satellite depiction this morning. This system is moisture starved but several key factors are likely to come together to squeeze out every available snowflake today thru Saturday. A strong baroclinic zone approaching from central AZ today will move slowly east into western NM while deep layer ascent increases over central NM with an 85kt upper level speed max. Meanwhile, a back door cold front that moved southwest thru eastern NM overnight will surge west thru the RGV by sunrise and to the Cont Divide by late morning. Snow is already developing around KGUP and will continue spreading east thru late morning. Generally 1-3" of snow is expected along the I-40 corridor of western NM by late day. In addition, east canyon winds within the ABQ metro will produce wind gusts up to 55 mph from near Placitas south to ABQ and Belen today. The prime time for snow accums will come tonight as a tightly wound upper level storm system and associated surface low move slowly east along the U.S. 60 corridor. Upslope flow within the Jemez, southern Sangres, and Sandia/Manzano Mts will coincide with the dendritic growth zone to produce efficient snow accums. Cold temps will lead to travel impacts on area roadways and the Winter Wx Advisories have been expanded for much of central NM. There is some potential for snow accums in the ABQ metro as well since models are hinting at increasing convergence with canyon winds tapering off this evening. Overall, despite a significant moisture tap we will likely squeeze out 2-6" of snow around the higher terrain of central NM by Saturday morning. -NWS Albuquerque 11/27/2020
Getting into next week, conditions will clear out Monday before another system moves into the desert southwest.
Snowfall amounts are not certain at this time.
Conditions look to clear out again heading into the extended period of the forecast.
Thursday and Beyond:
Global models indicate below-average temperatures and precipitation is likely over the desert southwest in the extended period of the forecast.