SnowBrains Forecast: 20-40 cm for BC/Alberta Through Thursday

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ECMWF snowfall forecast map
Credit: WeatherBell

A solid Tuesday through Thursday storm is the main event across BC/Alberta, with the deepest and coldest snowfall focused on the Banff corridor and Kicking Horse. Expect widespread fresh snow through Thursday evening, the roughest wind exposure at Big White and RED Mountain, a quieter Friday through Sunday stretch for better visibility and snow preservation, then a much less certain chance for another round early next week.

Confidence is highest from Tuesday morning through Thursday evening, when the guidance is well converged on storm timing and reasonably aligned on intensity. Sunshine and Lake Louise are favored for about 30 cm-40 cm, with Kicking Horse near 20 cm-30 cm and Big White and Revelstoke closer to 20 cm-25 cm. Snow levels stay low enough for all snow in the Alberta resorts and Kicking Horse, while Revelstoke starts wetter at lower elevations and RED Mountain is the outlier with snow levels at times rising near or above its summit. Snow quality should improve as colder air settles in, with many areas moving from moderate or dense 8-12:1 snow Tuesday to lighter 14-20:1 snow by Wednesday night and Thursday. Big White and RED Mountain also look windier than the rest of the region, with exposed terrain often running 30 km/h-50 km/h and gusts 60 km/h-90 km/h, locally higher at Big White.

From Friday through Sunday, the models converge on a mostly dry break with lighter winds and much better day-to-day ski weather. Fresh snow will hold best in the colder Banff terrain and at Kicking Horse, while lower-elevation BC resorts should see more of a spring pattern with softer afternoons after a cold start. Mount Norquay remains closed, so the Banff focus stays on Sunshine and Lake Louise for this cycle. Outside of a stray leftover centimeter or two, this looks like a maintenance period rather than another meaningful refresh.

Monday into Wednesday is much less settled, and this is where the forecast spread opens up on timing, intensity, and snow levels. A snowier camp would bring another 5 cm-20 cm to the Alberta resorts and Kicking Horse, with 5 cm-15 cm possible at Big White and Revelstoke, but drier solutions keep most areas to only a minor top-up. Wind signals are comparatively modest in that later period, so snowfall coverage and snow level are the bigger questions. For now, the most realistic call is a quieter weekend followed by a possible early-week refresh, not a second locked-in storm.

Resort Forecast Totals (Tue Mar 24 – Thu Mar 26)

  • Banff Sunshine30 cm-42 cm
  • Lake Louise28 cm-40 cm
  • Kicking Horse22 cm-31 cm
  • Mount Norquay21 cm-29 cm
  • Big White18 cm-25 cm
  • Revelstoke17 cm-24 cm
  • RED Mountain8 cm-11 cm

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