Weather
A strong coastal storm Sunday night into Monday brings a sharp snowfall gradient across New England while lake effect and a clipper keep snow going in Michigan’s Keweenaw. The bullseye favors southern New Hampshire and western Maine, with amounts dropping off quickly as you head north into Vermont and Quebec. Temperatures stay cold enough for snow at all elevations in the near term, and wind will be a big part of the story on Monday, especially in exposed terrain. After a colder, breezy Tuesday, the pattern keeps offering more chances for snow later in the week and into early March, though the models spread out quickly on timing and intensity.
Sunday night through Tuesday, expect about 3″-8″ in the White Mountains and Maine high terrain, 4″-5″ in southern Vermont, and 1″-3″ along the northern Vermont spine, with little to no accumulation pushing into Quebec. The ECMWF, the AIFS, and the GFS have moved closer on the storm track, and confidence has increased in a meaningful hit for southern New Hampshire and parts of Maine. The north edge remains the tricky part, and the ICON and the GDPS keep that cutoff fairly sharp, so totals can change fast over short distances. Snow levels stay pinned near the valley floors, and temperatures stay cold enough for snow quality to hold up well. SLRs generally run in the 12-18:1 range, so expect fairly good to very good snow, with a lighter feel in the higher terrain. Monday brings strong winds and blowing snow at upper elevations, which can affect visibility and lift-exposed zones.
In the Upper Peninsula, lake effect Sunday into Monday plus a Tuesday clipper add up to roughly 7″-9″ at Mt. Bohemia through Tuesday. The models line up well on steady snow potential in the Keweenaw in this window, with the most persistent periods tied to north winds off Lake Superior. Snow quality looks strong, with SLRs commonly in the mid-teens and occasionally near 20:1, so turns should stay light and dry when the wind backs off. Sunday and Monday stay breezy enough for blowing snow at times, especially in open areas. Back in New England, Tuesday trends colder behind the departing coastal storm with leftover mountain snow showers and a noticeable breeze, keeping the new snow in good shape even where totals are modest.
From Wednesday into early March, the mountains have room for additional snowfall, and the overall outcome range runs from a minor refresh to something more substantial, roughly 3″-12″ depending on how the waves line up. Several additional systems show up across guidance, but the models diverge quickly on storm timing, how precipitation breaks up into waves, and how much warmer air can push into lower elevations during any midweek surge. That keeps confidence lower on exact day-by-day impacts after Tuesday, and it puts a premium on short-term updates as each wave comes into focus. The broader late February into early March pattern stays supportive of frequent precipitation chances, with temperatures leaning closer to seasonal across Vermont and New Hampshire and a cooler lean in Maine, which keeps snow opportunities on the table for the mountains.
Resort Forecast Totals: February 22-24
- Mt. Bohemia – 7″-9″
- Bretton Woods – 5″-8″
- Wildcat – 5″-8″
- Cannon Mountain – 5″-7″
- Killington – 4″-5″
- Sugarloaf – 4″-5″
- Loon Mountain – 3″-4″
- Sugarbush – 2″-3″
- Sunday River – 2″-3″
- Stowe – 2″-3″
- Jay Peak – 1″-2″
- Mont Sainte-Anne – 0″
