Weather
Arctic cold holds on through Monday, then a Tue night (02/10) – Thu (02/12) clipper delivers the best snow of the week, topping out around 4″–9″ in the northern Greens and the White Mountains. Snow levels stay pinned near 0 feet during the midweek wave and SLRs mostly run 14–19:1, so snow quality should be light and fluffy once the snow starts Tuesday night. Late week turns milder and mostly dry, then a lower-confidence Sun night (02/15) – Mon night (02/16) system could add a modest, denser refresh with snow levels rising toward 700–1,100 feet on Monday. In the Upper Peninsula, Mount Bohemia has a brief chance of mixed precipitation Monday, then a marginal Mon night (02/16) – Tue (02/17) event looks wet and heavy.
Bitter cold dominates the start of the week, then the main snow event arrives Tue night (02/10) – Thu (02/12). Wind chills dip to roughly -15°F to -30°F near sunrise Monday, so plan on true midwinter gear and seek sheltered terrain early week. Snow spreads in Tuesday afternoon and evening, with the steadiest push through Tuesday night into early Wednesday and a more showery, terrain-driven finish into Thursday. Snow levels stay at 0 feet and temperatures hold in the teens to low 20s, keeping this all snow from base to summit. SLRs generally sit in the 14–19:1 range, so expect light, fluffy turns, especially after the initial burst Tuesday night. The northern Greens and the White Mountains look best for 4″–9″, while western Maine trends closer to 2″–5″ and the Quebec City area is lighter around 1″–2″. Ridgetops turn breezy, with gusts commonly 30–50 mph and a few exposed summits possibly touching 60 mph as flow swings from southwest to northwest; the ECMWF is generally the low side on totals, while the GFS and the GDPS are running higher in the Whites and northern Vermont.
Snow showers fade to lighter, wind-driven upslope on Thu (02/12), then late week trends drier with a noticeable warming trend into the weekend. Thursday still brings winter temperatures, but the snow should preserve well on shaded aspects as the last flakes taper. By Friday and Saturday, many mountains warm into the 20s and low 30s, so expect settling and some afternoon softening on sun-exposed slopes while nights refreeze things back up. Winds ease compared to midweek, though exposed peaks can stay brisk enough to matter for comfort. A few models, including the GFS and the ICON, keep trying to add a small Fri (02/13) or Sat (02/14) refresher in parts of Vermont and northern New Hampshire, but the signal is spotty and light compared to the midweek wave.
A weaker Sun night (02/15) – Mon night (02/16) system is the wildcard, and confidence is lower because guidance is split on whether it organizes or stays scattered. As forecast now, most mountains pick up a modest refresh, generally 1″–3″, with a few higher-elevation Vermont peaks closer to 2″–4″ if moisture hangs in longer. SLRs trend closer to 10–13:1 with this one, so expect medium-density turns rather than blower. The ECMWF is the main higher-outlier in northern Vermont, while the AIFS and the GFS barely generate a coherent storm at several resorts, so totals remain the least certain part of the forecast. In the Upper Peninsula at Mount Bohemia, the late-window Mon night (02/16) – Tue (02/17) signal looks marginal with temperatures near 31°F, snow levels around 1,800 feet, and SLRs near 8–9:1, pointing to wet snow and limited powder quality. Looking farther out, the mid-February pattern favors above-normal temperatures across the Northeast, with a better signal for active precipitation later in the Feb 15–21 window.
Resort Forecast Totals (Tue night (02/10) – Thu night (02/12))
- Stowe – 6″–9″
- Cannon Mountain – 5″–9″
- Jay Peak – 4″–6″
- Bretton Woods – 4″–6″
- Sugarbush – 4″–6″
- Killington – 3″–5″
- Sugarloaf – 3″–5″
- Loon Mountain – 3″–4″
- Wildcat – 3″–4″
- Sunday River – 2″–3″
- Mont Sainte-Anne – 1″–2″
