Weather
A cold, generally low-snow stretch is in place through midweek, then a more complicated late-week storm pattern develops across the Northeast. Sunday and Monday stay sharply cold with only light nuisance snow early, followed by a better but still modest snowfall window Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday. After that, confidence drops as a broader Thursday night through weekend precipitation cycle arrives with bigger spread on snow versus rain at different elevations. Expect conditions to shift from dry and wintery early to milder, windier, and more variable by the weekend.
Guidance is converging best from now through early Wednesday, with most resorts landing around 0″-2″ and the best shot at 2″-3″ centered on Killington and nearby higher terrain during Tuesday night’s wave. Timing agreement is fairly tight, with snow filling in Tuesday afternoon or evening and tapering by early Wednesday, while intensity agreement is moderate and generally light. Snow levels are also clustered low during snowfall, mostly from valley floors up to around 1,000 feet, which supports snow at ski elevations rather than prolonged mixing. Wind impacts are lower confidence than snowfall but still notable, with frequent ridge gusts in the 25 to 40 mph range and occasional stronger bursts. Temperatures stay very cold into Monday, commonly around -5°F to 15°F in higher terrain before rising into the 20s and low 30s Tuesday night. Snow quality in this in-window period looks mostly dense to moderate, with SLRs commonly near 9 to 12.
From Thursday night through the weekend, models converge on timing for a broader precipitation round but diverge on intensity and snow levels, supporting a conservative snow expectation near 3″-8″ for many northern New England mountains with a colder upside closer to 8″-15″ in favored higher terrain. Wind signals are more consistent than snowfall amounts, with many higher peaks likely seeing sustained 25 to 40 mph winds and gusts frequently 50 to 70 mph, especially Friday into Sunday. As warmer air pushes north, snow levels should become more volatile during active precipitation, so lower elevations are more exposed to mixed or wet outcomes while upper elevations hold better snow chances. Where it stays snow, quality should range from dense to moderate, with SLRs mostly around 8 to 14 and occasional lighter pockets in the coldest northern elevations. Beyond the weekend, the broader pattern still favors milder-than-normal temperatures with recurring precipitation chances, and any late-window snowfall spikes remain low confidence and localized.
Resort Forecast Totals (Sun Mar 01 – Wed Mar 04)
- Killington – 2″-3″
- Cannon Mountain – 1″-2″
- Loon Mountain – 1″-2″
- Bretton Woods – 1″-2″
- Wildcat – 1″
- Sugarbush – 1″
- Mont Sainte-Anne – 1″
- Stowe – 1″
- Jay Peak – 0″-1″
- Sunday River – 0″-1″
- Sugarloaf – 0″
- Mt. Bohemia – 0″
