Weather
California skiing is headed into a very warm, very dry stretch, with no fresh snow signal through at least early next week and only a breezier cooldown later on. Sierra resorts stay in spring mode, with Tahoe and the central Sierra generally running from the upper 50s to mid 60s through Friday, Mammoth near the upper 50s to low 60s, and Mount Baldy pushing the upper 60s while it remains temporarily closed. Nights stay mild too, mostly in the 40s and 50s at the open Sierra resorts, so overnight recovery looks limited and surfaces should soften fast each day. The one notable change is a west-wind increase around Tuesday and Wednesday, strongest near Tahoe ridgelines, but even that still looks moisture-starved rather than stormy.
Wednesday through Friday are the hottest days of the period. All guidance is tightly clustered on a dry ridge over California, so the near-term message is straightforward: no snowfall, very warm afternoons, and barely any overnight reset. Tahoe-area resorts are mostly topping out in the low to mid 60s, Bear Valley reaches the mid 60s, and Mammoth still gets into the upper 50s to low 60s. Even the cooler nighttime hours stay mild, with Palisades Tahoe, Sugar Bowl, and Heavenly mostly holding in the upper 40s to low 50s overnight through Friday, while Mammoth bottoms out in the mid 40s. Winds are not a major issue yet, generally staying in the teens with only isolated gusts into the 20s around exposed Tahoe terrain. Mount Baldy is even warmer, with afternoon temperatures near the upper 60s Thursday and Friday, but it is temporarily closed.
Saturday through Monday stay dry, but the ridge weakens enough to trim the heat and bring back a more typical west breeze. This is still not a storm setup. The model suite remains well aligned on zero snowfall and a gradual step down in temperatures, taking Tahoe and the central Sierra back to the low to mid 50s by Sunday and Monday, with Mammoth mostly in the low 50s and Mount Baldy closer to around 60. The spread is still fairly small on the cooling trend, but it starts to widen a bit on wind timing, with the breezier solutions bringing afternoon gusts into the 20s and low 30s around exposed Tahoe terrain while Mammoth stays lighter. Confidence is highest from Wednesday through Monday night because every model keeps the state dry and warm, just with less extreme warmth after Friday.
From Tuesday into next Saturday, the common signal is still cooler, breezier, and mostly dry rather than a true reload. Every model keeps precipitation and snowfall essentially absent at the resorts, but they diverge more on the size of the cooldown and on how hard the west-southwest wind pushes into the Sierra. The milder camp holds Tahoe closer to the 50s, while the cooler camp drops some upper-mountain spots into the 40s by midweek; Mammoth trends toward the mid 40s to upper 40s, and Southern California stays much warmer, mostly in the upper 50s to low 60s. Wind is the bigger variable, especially near Tahoe, where exposed terrain could see gusts build into the 40s and 50s and locally near 60 mph around Tuesday and Wednesday before easing again. Longer range confidence is lower than the weekend forecast, but the broader lean still favors a dry California pattern instead of a meaningful late-period storm.
