Weather
A wet-to-wintry stretch favors the northern Greens and northern New Hampshire midweek, with the biggest winners likely Jay Peak and Stowe at 9″–14″ by Saturday night, while Cannon approaches 6″–10″ and Bretton Woods 6″–9″. Early Sunday brings a brief, dense snow in the New Hampshire and Maine mountains that turns to rain below mid-elevations. Then, Monday night–Tuesday flips back to colder upslope conditions that refresh the snow quality and keep light to moderate accumulations going into Friday. Mt. Bohemia picks up a modest 2″–4″ on the edge of stronger lake-effect bands. The broader pattern remains active, with periodic snow showers and a late-season temperature trend toward near or above normal levels.
Sunday, November 9, brings a quick, wet early-season hit to the New Hampshire and western Maine mountains, followed by a change to rain below mid-mountain. Early snow gives way to a wintry mix and then rain as snow levels rise from around 1,900 feet to near 4,400 feet in the Presidentials and to about 2,300 feet near Sugarloaf by evening. Accumulations are modest and on the dense side with snow-to-liquid ratios roughly 8–11:1; Sugarloaf picks up 1″–2″ and Wildcat around 1″–2″ before the warm push. Southeast winds increase into the afternoon and evening with gusts peaking at 30–55 mph on the ridges, which keeps the feel raw.
Monday night through Tuesday is the main cold upslope window for the northern Greens and Franconia Range. Temperatures fall into the teens and 20s, with snow levels returning to the valleys, and snow quality improves, with snow-to-liquid ratios generally in the 12–14:1 range. Jay Peak and Stowe are expected to see the steadiest bursts on Monday night and again on Tuesday night into early Wednesday, setting them up for roughly 9″–14″ of snow by Saturday night. West to northwest ridgetop winds become strong at times, with frequent gusts 40–60 mph Tuesday and Tuesday night, so expect a wind-affected surface up high during the lulls. All Vermont areas remain closed for now, with targeted openings scheduled for later this month.
Wednesday through Friday brings a clipper and recurring northwest-flow snow showers, with a brief bump in snow levels midday on Wednesday, followed by a cooler finish. A midday Wednesday warm blip lifts snow levels toward 1,200–1,800 feet for a time, then colder air returns Wednesday night and Thursday, which favors the northern Greens and the Whites again. Totals build gradually throughout the period, with Cannon Mountain near 6″–10″ and Bretton Woods around 6″–9″. Meanwhile, central and southern Vermont experience lighter, piecemeal additions, including Sugarbush at around 5″–6″ and Killington at 3″–5″ by Thursday night. Snow quality midweek varies from fair to good, with ratios mostly 10–14:1 and a brief wetter spell around midday Wednesday.
Across the Upper Peninsula, lake-effect dominates near Lake Superior with lighter returns into the Keweenaw. Mt. Bohemia sits on the fringe of the most intense bands that favor points east, so look for a modest 2″–4″ through Monday night with snow-to-liquid ratios near 10–12:1 and occasional 20–30 mph gusts. The pattern remains active with periodic snow showers throughout much of the week, but some late-week moderation reduces ratios and allows mixed precipitation at times, especially away from the lake. Looking beyond, the extended pattern favors near to above normal precipitation region-wide; temperatures run below normal midweek in northern New England, then trend near to above normal into the 8–14 day window, which supports continued light mountain snow chances rather than a deep cold lock-in.
Resort Forecast Totals
- Jay Peak – 9″–14″ Mon (11/10) – Sat night (11/15)
- Stowe – 9″–14″ Mon night (11/10) – Sat night (11/15)
- Cannon Mountain – 6″–10″ Mon night (11/10) – Sat (11/15)
- Bretton Woods – 6″–9″ Mon night (11/10) – Sun (11/16)
- Sugarbush – 5″–6″ total (3″–4″ Mon night (11/10) – Tue night (11/11) + 1″–2″ Wed night (11/12) – Fri (11/14))
- Killington – 3″–5″ total (2″–3″ Mon night (11/10) – Tue night (11/11) + 1″–2″ Wed (11/12) – Thu night (11/13))
- Loon Mountain – 3″–5″ total (1″–2″ Mon night (11/10) – Wed (11/12) + 2″–3″ Wed (11/12) – Fri (11/14))
- Wildcat – 2″–4″ total (1″–2″ Sun (11/09) – Sun night (11/09) + 1″–2″ Mon night (11/10) – Wed (11/12))
- Mt. Bohemia – 2″–4″ Sun (11/09) – Mon night (11/10)
- Sugarloaf – 1″–2″ Sun (11/09) – Sun night (11/09)
