Weather
Warm, dry conditions continue through Sunday before shifting to a cooler, more unsettled pattern starting Monday, with moderate snowfall across higher terrain through mid-week. Initially, warm weather dominates, but by Monday morning, a transition begins as cooler air and precipitation arrive. Snowfall totals are modest, but ski resorts above 4,000 feet, especially those favoring northwest upslope flow, will see moderate accumulations through Tuesday. Snow levels lower to around 3,000 feet by midweek, with generally good snow quality thanks to snow-liquid ratios consistently in the 12-15:1 range. After a brief lull Wednesday, the pattern turns more active again late in the week, although the exact impacts remain uncertain due to potential variability in storm track and intensity.
Weekend Warm Spell: The weekend brings sunny skies, dry weather, and notably mild temperatures across the Northern Rockies. Expect daytime highs 5-15 degrees above normal with pleasant ski conditions but no new snow accumulation. Conditions will remain dry through Sunday evening before cloud cover increases overnight.
Monday–Tuesday Disturbance: Early Monday, a cold front sweeps through the region, bringing widespread precipitation. Snow levels initially start near 4,000 feet, dropping to around 3,000 feet by Tuesday night. Snowfall totals remain modest, with most resorts accumulating only minor to moderate amounts. Resorts positioned in northwest upslope regions may experience slightly better accumulations. Temperatures will be near freezing at resort elevations, keeping snow quality in the moderate-to-good range, with SLR values generally around 12-14:1, promising relatively soft conditions. Winds increase moderately but will not significantly impact skiing conditions.
Wednesday–Thursday Weak Waves: Brief ridging builds on Wednesday, bringing drier weather and a break from snowfall before another minor wave moves in Wednesday night through Thursday. Snow amounts remain relatively light from this system, though snow quality continues to be quite good, with SLRs of around 12-15:1. This wave is expected to primarily affect higher terrain, adding another round of minor accumulations before exiting Thursday evening.
Extended Outlook: Toward the end of next week and into the weekend, uncertainty increases significantly as another Pacific trough approaches. There’s potential for more substantial snowfall, especially in western and southern mountain zones, although the exact trajectory and intensity remain unclear. Temperatures trend slightly cooler, supporting snowfall at most ski elevations, but confidence in exact impacts is limited at this stage. Stay tuned for updates, as conditions could become more favorable for powder chasing later next weekend.
Resort Forecast Totals
- Grand Targhee, WY – 4″-10” total (3″-6” Mon (03/03) – Wed (03/05) + 1″-4” Wed night (03/05) – Fri (03/07))
- Bridger Bowl, MT – 1″-3” Mon night (03/03) – Tue (03/04)
- Jackson Hole, WY– 1″-3” Wed night (03/05) – Thu night (03/06)
