SnowBrains Forecast: Warm Start Then 1-2 Feet for Utah Next Week

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ECMWF snowfall forecast map
Credit: WeatherBell

Utah stays in warm spring mode through the weekend, then turns more wintry next week with the best shot at accumulating snow from Tuesday night through Saturday. The near-term story is heat, a mostly dry front, and periodic wind, but the more important ski-weather shift comes once the trough arrives. Snow should start out wet and elevation-sensitive, then cool enough for broader coverage and better quality later in the storm, with the upper-end outcome near 18″-28″ in favored high terrain and many other open northern Utah resorts closer to 4″-15″.

Wednesday through Sunday still looks like a warm, mostly dry stretch. Guidance is tightly clustered on record to near-record heat peaking Wednesday, plus a period of southwest wind that should be noticeable on exposed lifts before a mostly dry front slips through late Wednesday into Thursday. The models are also converging on only a brief cooldown behind that front, not a true reset, so Thursday through Sunday should still ski like spring with firm mornings, fast softening once the sun gets to work, and little to no meaningful new snow for the open northern Utah hills.

Confidence is best from Tuesday evening, March 31, through Saturday, April 4, when every model turns Utah colder and unsettled even though the first burst still has timing spread. Some solutions start precipitation Tuesday night while others do not deliver the main push until Thursday, so the cleanest read is a multi-part storm rather than one nonstop dump. The models diverge on exact intensity and lull timing, but they converge on high initial snow levels around 8,000 to 9,000 feet, then a steady drop toward 5,000 to 7,000 feet later Thursday into Saturday. That means dense first-round snow with SLRs mostly 4-8:1, then fairer 8-14:1 snow as colder air arrives. Exposed terrain also carries a recurring 30 to 50 mph gust signal, especially around the stronger wave, and the most likely storm result is a solid refresh of about 10″-27″ in favored high terrain and roughly 4″-15″ at many lower-elevation Wasatch resorts.

After Saturday, confidence drops quickly even though the broader pattern still leans cooler and more active into next week. The guidance diverges again on timing, intensity, snow levels, and wind impacts beyond the first trough, with one camp keeping periodic reloads over Utah and another drying the state out for a couple of days before the next wave. Snow levels look lower if additional precipitation does materialize, so any later accumulations would likely be drier than the opening round. A conservative read is for only light leftovers right after the weekend, then another possible higher-terrain add of about 3″-10″ sometime early to mid next week if the wetter solutions win out.

Resort Forecast Totals (Tue Mar 31 – Sat Apr 04)

  • Alta11″-27″
  • Snowbird11″-26″
  • Brighton10″-24″
  • Solitude8″-21″
  • Park City6″-15″
  • Powder Mountain6″-14″
  • Eagle Point6″-14″
  • Beaver Mountain5″-13″
  • Deer Valley4″-11″

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