2015 winter outlook

How Off Was NOAA’s Winter 2015 Outlook for the USA?

Last Fall, NOAA created outlooks for both precipitation and temperatures in the USA. Their models strongly reflected El Nino patterns as an El Nino was expected to show up. El Nino didn’t end up showing up until last week. What NOAA did get right was a warmer than average West. This translated into above average temperatures for much of the winter along with rain in the place of snow when precipitation moved in. Much of the American West had a rough ski season with Washington, Oregon, and California having especially bad winters. […]
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NOAA 2014/15 Winter Outlook for USA: Dec, Jan, Feb

NOAA's winter outlook for December, January, and February is showing above average precipitation in all the southern USA. Below average precipitation is predicted for the Pacific Northwest and Ohio River Basin.

NOAA’s outlook models are updated each month and this latest update was done on September 18th, 2014. Despite the lowered chances of an El Nino this winter, NOAA won’t let go of the El Nino pattern just yet. In NOAA’s latest El Nino update, they stated: The chance of El Niño is at 60-65% during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter. – NOAA on September 22nd, 2014 This chance of El Nino is causing NOAA to show above average precipitation in the south this coming December, January, and February in the USA. So, if this pattern is somewhat accurate, who is in the bullseye? […]
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