Weather
Winter may be in the rearview mirror, but the anticipation for next season is already building. Summer is officially here, a couple of ski resorts across the northern hemisphere are still spinning lifts for late-season turns, and the southern hemisphere’s ski season is just getting underway. For many, the end of one season marks the start of planning for the next. With that in mind, early winter weather forecasts are offering the first clues about where skiers and snowboarders might find the coldest temperatures and deepest snow in 2025-26. Hot on the heels of last week’s first look, Direct Weather just released another look at the winter 2025-26 forecast. Here’s a quick summary, but check out the full video for more details.
Direct Weather’s latest long-range winter forecast suggests promising conditions for skiers and snowboarders across much of the northern United States, with a particular focus on the effects of a likely neutral ENSO (El Niño–Southern Oscillation) or a weak La Niña. Historical patterns and early model guidance indicate colder and snowier conditions in key regions, although some uncertainty remains, particularly for the southern states and the timing of major snow events.
Regional Breakdown
Northeast & North Central U.S.
These regions are expected to be the coldest and snowiest this winter.
- Historical analogs and early model guidance both suggest below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation, particularly in the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, and Northeast regions.
- The forecast hints at frequent “clipper” systems (fast-moving snowstorms from Canada) and the potential for “Miller B” nor’easters, which could deliver significant snowfall, especially later in the season.
- The Northeast, in particular, could see a repeat of the snowy patterns observed in winters like 2014–2015, which was memorable for frequent nor’easters and heavy snow.
Southeast & Deep South
- The Southeast may see warmer and drier conditions overall, with a persistent “southeast ridge” pattern potentially limiting cold air outbreaks and major snow events.
- However, some “southern slider” systems could bring occasional mixed precipitation or even rare snowfall to the deeper southern states, but these events are expected to be less frequent and less intense than in northern regions.
Western U.S.
- The West, including the Rockies and Sierra Nevada, is projected to experience drier-than-average conditions, with fewer cold outbreaks compared to the north-central and northeastern states.
- Skiers and snowboarders in these areas should monitor updates as the season approaches, as long-range models can shift with new data.
Key Patterns and Historical Analogs
- Neutral ENSO or Weak La Niña: These conditions historically favor colder and snowier winters in the eastern and north-central U.S., particularly when the ENSO index remains close to neutral.
Duo Winters: The forecast draws on analogs from previous “duo winters,” where a very cold winter is often followed by another cold (and sometimes even snowier) winter. Notably, the winters of 2013–2014 and 2014–2015 brought extreme cold and heavy snow to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with the second year often being snowier, even if slightly warmer.
Storm Tracks: The upcoming winter may feature fewer classic nor’easters but more frequent clippers and Miller B systems, which can still bring substantial snow to ski regions in the Northeast and Midwest.
Summary: Regional Outlook
This winter, the Northeast and North Central regions of the United States are expected to experience colder-than-normal temperatures and above-average snowfall, making them the most promising areas for skiers and snowboarders seeking classic winter conditions. The Ohio Valley and Great Lakes are also likely to experience colder weather and increased precipitation, with frequent storm activity enhancing snow potential. In contrast, the Southeast and Deep South are forecast to be warmer and drier overall, though occasional “southern slider” systems could bring rare bouts of mixed precipitation or light snow. Meanwhile, the Western U.S., including the Rockies and Sierra Nevada, is projected to be drier than average with fewer cold outbreaks, so winter sports enthusiasts in these areas should keep an eye on updates as the season approaches.
Takeaways for Skiers and Snowboarders
- The best prospects for cold and snowy conditions are in the Northeast, Great Lakes, and north-central states—prime destinations for winter sports enthusiasts.
- The Southeast and Deep South are less likely to see significant snow, but occasional surprise events are possible.
- The West may experience a drier winter, so those planning trips to the Rockies or Sierra Nevada should watch for updates as the season nears.
Final Note: This forecast is based on early indicators and historical patterns. As winter approaches, more precise updates will be available, and skiers and snowboarders should stay tuned for changes, especially regarding storm tracks and precipitation trends.
