NOAA February 2026 Outlook: Pattern Change Could Finally Bring Relief to the Snow-Starved Western United States The NOAA recently released its outlook for February 2026. Will we see fortunes change for the snow-starved west? A summary is below, followed by the full text discussion. A weakening La Niña and a strengthening Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) could finally bring relief to the snow-starved western United States in February, according to the latest 30-day outlook from the Climate Prediction […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 19, 2026 0 Comments
NOAA Launches A.I.-Enhanced Versions of GFS and GEFS Weather Models The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recently launched three new artificial intelligence based weather forecast products. The A.I. Global Forecast System and the A.I. Global Ensemble Forecast System will now be routinely offered alongside its other weather model products. These new weather models offer slight increases in accuracy, but can be computed roughly 1,000 times faster than traditional numerical weather […] Brains Zach Armstrong | December 22, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA: 72-84″ Of Snow for Yosemite, CA, Next 7-Days It’s not often that you see the National Weather Service (NOAA) calling for 6-8 feet (72-84″) of snow in one Winter Storm Warning, but that’s exactly what’s happening right now for Yosemite National Park in California. It’s also very abnormal to have a Winter Storm Warning, or any warning for that matter, that lasts 7 days, but again, that’s what’s […] Weather Miles Clark | December 20, 2025 1 Comment
NOAA January 2026 Outlook: Can the West’s Ski Season be Saved? The NOAA released its monthly outlook for January 2026 today. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. TL;DR – January 2026 favors a classic weak La Niña setup: colder, stormier conditions and better snow odds for the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies, Great Lakes, and western Alaska, with more […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 18, 2025 0 Comments
[NOVEMBER UPDATE] NOAA Winter 2025-26 Forecast: New Forecast Pinpoints Snowiest (and Driest) Regions The November update of the NOAA long-lead outlook delivers fresh insight into the 2025–26 winter forecast across America’s mountain regions. Related: SnowBrains Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Month-by-Month and Region-by-Region — Where it’s Going to Snow This Winter Related: Farmers’ Almanac Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Cold and Snowy Winter Ahead. But Where? Related: Winter 2024-25 Scorecard: How the Big Names in Long Range […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 24, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA December 2025 Outlook: Here’s How the Early Ski Season is Shaping Up Yesterday, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for December 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: SnowBrains Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Month-by-Month and Region-by-Region — Where it’s Going to Snow This Winter Related: Farmers’ Almanac Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Cold and Snowy Winter Ahead. But Where? Related: NOAA […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 21, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA 2025–26 Winter Forecast: La Niña Brings Big Snow to the North A newly issued La Niña Advisory by NOAA forecasters predicts the cold-phase pattern of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation will persist through most of the 2025–26 winter before fading by early spring. The result: a classic La Niña setup favoring wetter, colder conditions in the North and drier, warmer conditions across the South, according to the most recent NOAA winter 2025-26 forecast. Related: SnowBrains […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 16, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA October 2025 Outlook: Will Warm Fall Delay Early Snow For Ski Resorts? Yesterday, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for October 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: SnowBrains Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Month-by-Month and Region-by-Region — Where it’s Going to Snow This Winter Related: Farmers’ Almanac Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Cold and Snowy Winter Ahead. But Where? Related: NOAA […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 19, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA September 2025 Outlook: Hotter and Drier Than Normal Across Most of the Country Yesterday, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for September 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: Farmers’ Almanac Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Cold and Snowy Winter Ahead. But Where? Related: NOAA Winter 2025-26 Forecast: Nor’easters and Pacific Powder—This is Where it Will Snow TL;DR: September 2025 is […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 22, 2025 0 Comments
[UPDATED: July 18] NOAA Winter 2025-26 Outlook: Long-Lead Seasonal Outlook Gives Sneak Peek of Next Winter [UPDATED July 18] – Although there are still a couple of ski areas open, that doesn’t mean we can’t start looking ahead to next winter. Yesterday, NOAA updated its long-lead seasonal outlooks, which include the winter 2025-26 season. We thought we’d take a quick look to see what might be in store for the U.S. next year. Last season, our team […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 18, 2025 4 Comments
NOAA August 2025 Outlook: Above-Normal Temperatures Forecast Across Much of the U.S. Yesterday, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for August 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: NOAA Winter 2025-26 Outlook: Long-Lead Seasonal Outlook Gives Sneak Peek of Next Winter tl;dr: For August 2025, above-normal temperatures are favored across much of the U.S., especially in the […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 18, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA July 2025 Updated Outlook: Drier West, Wetter East, and Monsoon Possibilities The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) updated its 30-day outlook for July 2025 yesterday, offering a detailed forecast for temperature and precipitation patterns across the United States. This forecast is based on the latest model guidance, ocean temperatures, and surface moisture conditions, providing a comprehensive view of the month ahead. Related: NOAA July 2025 Outlook: Western U.S. to be […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 1, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA: When to Expect the Coldest Day of the Year Where You Live This Coldest Day of the Year post first appeared on the NOAA website. To give you a better idea of the coldest time of year, on average, for your area, NCEI has created Coldest Day of the Year maps for the contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. The maps are derived from the 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals—NCEI’s 30-year […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 26, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA: When to Expect the Warmest Day of the Year Where You Live During the summer months, most areas in the United States approach their highest temperatures for the year. To give you a better idea of the warmest time of year for your area, NCEI has created “Warmest Day of the Year” maps with the help of Climate.gov for the contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. The maps are derived from the […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 22, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA July 2025 Outlook: Western U.S. to be Hotter and Drier Than Normal, East to be Hotter and Wetter Yesterday, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for July 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: NOAA Winter 2025-26 Outlook: Long-Lead Seasonal Outlook Gives Sneak Peek of Next Winter tl;dr: In July 2025, the western U.S. is expected to be hotter and drier than usual, […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 20, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA June 2025 ENSO Update: Neutral Conditions—Neither El Niño nor La Niña—Most Likely for Winter 2025-26 This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker. The Pacific Ocean has hit pause and settled into ENSO-neutral conditions, which are expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer. This makes seasonal forecasting for upcoming global rain, temperature, and other patterns a bit trickier. Related: These Are the 6 Ski Areas Open in […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 13, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA June 2025 Outlook: Hotter Than Normal Across Most of the United States Last week, the NOAA released its monthly outlook for June 2025. Below is a summary for those unfamiliar with meteorological terminology, and the full discussion further down for those who are. Related: NOAA Winter 2025-26 Outlook: Long-Lead Seasonal Outlook Gives Sneak Peek of Next Winter TL;DR: June 2025 is forecast to be hotter than normal across most of the U.S., […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 19, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA May 2025 ENSO Update: Next Winter Likely ENSO-Neutral, Although La Niña a Possibility This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog. The tropical Pacific is in ENSO-neutral conditions, and neutral is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer. Neutral is also the most likely outcome for the fall and winter, although chances of La Niña are a close second. Today, as your trusty representative of the ENSO forecast team, I’ll cover […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 8, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA May 2025 Outlook: Warmer and Drier Than Normal for Most of the West The NOAA just released its outlook for May 2025. While winter is ending, snow is not unheard of in May. Let’s see what the NOAA claims is in store next month. Fingers crossed! Related: NOAA April 2025 ENSO Update: La Niña has Ended TL;DR: May 2025 looks warmer and drier than normal for most Western ski and mountain regions, with […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 18, 2025 0 Comments
NOAA April 2025 ENSO Update: La Niña has Ended This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog. After just a few months of La Niña conditions, the tropical Pacific is now ENSO-neutral, and forecasters expect neutral to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer. Neutral is also the most likely state through the fall (greater than 50% chance). Related: NOAA: Did La Niña Shape North American Precipitation this Winter […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 12, 2025 0 Comments
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