Climate Change Could Actually Lead to More Snow—But There’s a Catch

Brent Thomas | | Post Tag for WeatherWeather
Digging out the cars
Could this be more common in the future? Credit: Alta Ski Area

Earlier in September, unprecedented levels of fall snow in the European Alps led to severe flooding in central Europe. Some areas in the eastern Alps of Austria saw over six and a half feet of snow. This unusual autumn snowfall has kickstarted an early ski season across several resorts in the Alps.

Scientists believe climate change is the reason for the rare weather event. Europe is currently the fastest-warming continent on Earth. Over the past five years, average temperatures have been about 4.1°F warmer compared to the second half of the 19th century, according to the Copernicus climate service. This rapid warming has led to more frequent and intense heatwaves and an increase in extreme rainfall events, particularly in northern and central Europe. These trends were highlighted by the World Weather Attribution (WWA) and reported by the BBC. It can also help explain the recent uncommonly heavy pre-season snowfall event.

Rare and major September snowfall at Obertauern, Austria. Credit: Hotel Alpenland Obertauern Instagram

The reason for this is that a warmer atmosphere can hold about 7% more moisture for every 1.8°F increase in temperature, leading to heavier rainfall. Heavier rainfall can translate to more snow, but the catch is that it has to be cold enough, which means it would most likely only happen at higher altitudes. The snowfall in early September down to even lower areas in the European Alps was caused by a rare combination with a pressure system bringing cold air from the Arctic. Climate change has decreased the ice in the Arctic and Antarctic, which impacts long-term climate patterns and causes more intense heat waves worldwide, shifts in precipitation patterns, and also more extreme winters as the polar jet stream is destabilized.

If this is happening in Europe, extreme winter events certainly could happen in other places around the world. However, as climate change accelerates, the increasing rainfall and resulting snow accumulation in mountainous regions could significantly reshape winter sports and ecosystems. While more moisture in the atmosphere leads to heavier precipitation, including snow at higher altitudes, the unpredictability of weather patterns could also bring challenges, such as avalanches and shorter snow seasons in lower areas.

The combination of more frequent extreme weather events and shifts in snowfall distribution serves as a reminder of the broader impacts of a changing climate on our environment. In the coming years, managing these changes will be crucial for both natural habitats and recreational industries dependent on mountain snow.

Schladming-Dachstein, Austria, last month looking more like mid-winter rather than mid-September. Credit: Schladming-Dachstein Facebook

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