NOAA: 65-70% Chance of El Nino This Winter September 2018 ENSO Update: by Emily Becker/NOAA September 12, 2018 Whatโs happening in the exciting world ofย ENSOย prediction? Iโll tell you! While neutral conditions reign right now, weโre stillย expecting El Niรฑo conditions to arrive later this fallย (50-55% chance). By winter, the chance of El Niรฑo conditions increases to about 65-70%. The now Things are definitely looking pretty neutral right now in […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 13, 2018 1 Comment