NOAA: 65-70% Chance of El Nino This Winter September 2018 ENSO Update: by Emily Becker/NOAA September 12, 2018 What’s happening in the exciting world of ENSO prediction? I’ll tell you! While neutral conditions reign right now, we’re still expecting El Niño conditions to arrive later this fall (50-55% chance). By winter, the chance of El Niño conditions increases to about 65-70%. The now Things are definitely looking pretty neutral right now in […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 13, 2018 1 Comment