Here’s the NOAA’s September outlook.ย It’s looking warmer and drier than normal for the majority of the nation.
The abridged discussion is below:
Above normal temperatures are favored for most of the west-central CONUS.ย The strongest probabilities (greater than 50ย percent) of above-normal temperatures are indicated near the Four Cornersย region southeastward to extreme western Texas. Enhanced above normal temperatureย probabilities extend eastward, to parts of the Corn Belt, where trends indicateย the strongest warm signal. Above normal temperatures are also favored for theย Florida Peninsula and the Northeast. Equal chances (EC) of above, near,ย and below normal temperatures are indicated for the remainder of the easternย CONUS. Increasedย chances of below-normal temperatures are indicated for parts of Mainland Alaska.
Above normal precipitation is favored for parts of the Southwest, as an activeย monsoon 18 is forecast to persist. Below normalย precipitation is most likely farther to the north, from central Californiaย eastward across parts of the Great Basin and Rockies.ย Below normal precipitation is also the most likely scenario across most of theย north-central CONUS. Conversely, above-normal precipitation is favored across much ofย the Gulf Coast region and parts of the Southeast.ย Predicted above-normal tropical cycloneย activity in the Atlantic Basin may also potentially add to monthlyย precipitation totals across this region. Above-normal precipitation is alsoย favored for the Alaska Panhandle.ย Below normal precipitation is favored for much of the South Coast of Mainlandย Alaska westward to the Alaska Peninsula.