Weather
Forecast completed 2 pm, Sunday, October 27th
Forecast Summary
Colder temperatures and periods of mountain snow will overspread Utah on Monday & Tuesday. Moderate accumulations are expected, but I don’t expect to see enough snow for my first turns of the winter.
Another system will bring a chance for light snow this weekend.
The long-range forecast is not particularly exciting.
Short Term Forecast
We’ve got an interesting forecast over the next handful of days. Forecast models are in agreement that a powerful trough will move across the Great Basin early this week:
Our trough will drive a cold front through the area sometime Monday evening. A few hours of rain and mountain snow will accompany the front’s passage, and much colder air will move behind it. Snow levels will fall close to valley elevations by Tuesday a.m., so don’t be caught off guard to see snow falling as low as the Bonneville Shoreline Trail.
Steady snow ends pretty early on Tuesday as the cold front moves away, but a period of cold and generally unstable N-NW flow will last until Tuesday night. Bursts of mountain snow showers, as well as occasional lake effect/lake enhancement, will continue until after sunset, adding additional accumulations.
Here’s what I expect to see for storm total accumulations by midnight Wednesday:
- Park City, Deer Valley: 4-7″
- Alta, Snowbird, Brighton, Solitude: 5-9″
- Snowbasin, Powder Mountain: 2-5″
- Brian Head, Eagle Point: 5-7″
Later This Week & Beyond
Another weather system will move close-ish to the area Friday – Sunday, but it looks generally unproductive for the Wasatch. I expect occasional snow showers over the high terrain, but I will be pleasantly surprised if we pull down more than an inch or two of new snow.
Forecast models indicate a ridge will likely develop over the Pacific Northwest during the first week of November. That’s not a great look for us in UT, and the CPC extended outlooks reflect that:
