Using the Past to Predict the Future: What the 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Season Can Tell Us About Winter 2020 The 2005 and 2020 hurricane seasons have been strikingly similar so far. 2020 is on track to match or even beat the record 2005 season, and the chance of La Niña forming this fall and winter is extremely similar. Related: July, the ENSO, Winter 20/21 and You: La Niña Explained La Niña patterns play a huge role in what winter […] Clay Malott | August 17, 2020 0 Comments
How a La Niña Weather Pattern Will Potentially Effect Colorado’s Mountain Ranges Next Winter The NOAA predicts that there is a 50-55% chance that next winter will be influenced by a La Niña weather pattern. Of course, it being only July, predicting a La Niña is still “going out on a limb for a long-range forecast,” according to Colorado meteorologist Chris Tomer. Related: NOAA Issues La Niña Watch: 50-55% Chance of La Niña Developing in […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 16, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA Issues La Niña Watch: 50-55% Chance of La Niña Developing in Fall and Lasting Through Winter Photos and text originally by Emily Becker on Climate.gov. ENSO is still in neutral, and likely to continue so through the summer. However, the 50-55% chance of La Niña developing in the fall and lasting through winter means NOAA has hoisted a La Niña Watch. What’s a Watch? I’ve been writing these blog posts for more than six years now, and the […] WeatherBrains | July 10, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA Enso Blog: Can Volcanic Eruptions Cause El Niño? This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Tom Di Liberto It may seem like I randomly spun a Climate/Earth Phenomena wheel, landed on volcanoes, landed on ENSO, and then decided to do a piece connecting the two. But it makes more sense than it may seem. Volcanic eruptions have had HUGE impacts on the […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 26, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA June ENSO Update: Winter El Niño Unlikely, But Not Ruled Out This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker After several months of hovering above average, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have dropped rapidly in recent weeks. The current CPC/IRI ENSO forecast estimates about a 60% chance that ENSO-neutral conditions will remain through the summer. Chances for the fall and winter are […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 12, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA May ENSO Update: Increasing Odds of La Niña Next Winter With Low Chances for El Niño This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker ENSO-neutral conditions continue and are expected to remain through the fall. Let’s hit the road (virtually) and take a trip around El Niño/Southern Oscillation land! Who needs Carhenge when you have the Walker circulation? Related: THIS Is What El Nino Does To The USA: Buckle […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 16, 2020 0 Comments
Is Climate Change Increasing El Niño Patterns? All eyes have been on the dramatic El Niño patterns that have changed significantly over the past few years. With a severe and unpredictable nature, these natural weather events are trending towards even greater extremes. While there appears to be a connection between El Niño weather and global warming, limited history poses an issue for validation. El Niño means a short-term […] Weather Emily Crofton | December 3, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update: No ENSO? NOAA Still Issues Winter Outlook! This post was written by Mike Halpert and first appeared on the Climate.gov website While I’ve usually written this post in October, this year we decided to wait until a month before winter (December–February) starts. In past years, we’ve asked if El Niño (or La Niña) will play a role in the winter’s outcome. This year is different, however, as […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 29, 2019 1 Comment
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