NOAA: Seeing Red Across The North Pacific Ocean Written by Michelle L’Heureux on Climate.gov The Pacific Ocean is throwing a bit of a temper tantrum these days, but it’s not where you think it might be. Often we focus on the tropical Pacific Ocean because it’s where ENSO takes center stage, but currently, temperature departures across the Tropics are pretty blah. Instead, for the past few months, it’s the North Pacific Ocean […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 25, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA: October 2019 ENSO Update: Scary Stuff as 85% Chance of Neutral El Niño/La Niña Winter This post first appeared on the Climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker There’s about an 85% chance the tropical Pacific will remain ENSO-neutral through the fall, and a 55-60% chance of continued neutral through the spring. We’ll talk about the current conditions and check in on the Atlantic hurricane season. A Nightmare on ENSO Street But wait, you say—Niño3.4 […] SnowBrains | October 11, 2019 0 Comments
Upcoming Winter’s ‘Neutral’ ENSO Conditions Might be Bad News for Colorado Mountains The NOAA informed us last week that it expects winter 2019/20 to be ‘neutral’ with regards to El Niño and La Niña, which might be bad news for Colorado mountains, says Colorado State Climatologist Russ Schumacher. Related: NOAA: September 2019 ENSO Update: 60% Chance of an El Niño/La Niña Neutral Winter Of course, there are many factors that can influence […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 16, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA: September 2019 ENSO Update: 60% Chance of an El Niño/La Niña Neutral Winter Brought to you by the NOAA ENSO Blog / Written by Emily Becker El Niño 2019 is a thing of the past, and neutral conditions reign, as my brilliant blog brother Nat covered last month. Thanks, Nat! So where do we go from here? Forecasters estimate a 75% probability that we’ll hang out in neutral through the fall, with a […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 12, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO August 2019 Update: El Niño is Officially Done! What Does that Mean for Next Winter? This post was written by Nat Johnson and first appeared on the NOAA ENSO blog The El Niño of 2019 is officially done. Near-average conditions in the tropical Pacific indicate that we have returned to ENSO-neutral conditions (neither El Niño or La Niña is present). Forecasters continue to favor ENSO-neutral (50-55% chance) through the Northern Hemisphere winter. Related: What Is […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 13, 2019 1 Comment
NOAA: July 2019 ENSO Update – El Niño is Still Present, But Just Barely This article was written by Emily Becker and first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog El Niño is hanging on by its fingernails, but forecasters predict this event will wind down within the next couple of months. It’s likely that the temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean surface will return to near-average soon, qualifying for “ENSO-neutral” conditions. Neutral conditions are […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 11, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO July Update: Combining Humans and Machines for More Accurate El Niño Forecasts This post was written by Tom Di Liberto and first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog. As meteorologists and climate scientists, we talk about, think about, and commiserate about forecasts a lot. One enhancement that NOAA’s ENSO forecasting team has been working toward is the prediction of the strength of El Niño or La Nina. And judging by the comments left […] Weather WeatherBrains | July 3, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA: June 2019 ENSO Update – 50% Chance of El Niño Continuing into Winter This article was written by Emily Becker and first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog Our El Niño is still hanging around, and forecasters think it’s likely to stay through the summer. What happens after that is less clear, though, with about a 50% chance of El Niño continuing through the fall and winter. You might also like: Better Snow […] Weather WeatherBrains | June 14, 2019 0 Comments
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