NOAA: May 2019 ENSO Update – 70% Chance El Niño Conditions Continue Through Summer and In To Fall This post was written by Emily Becker for the NOAA ENSO Blog Forecasters estimate a 70% chance that our current El Niño will continue through the summer and a 55-60% chance it will extend into the fall. Just a number El Niño conditions were still evident across the tropical Pacific Ocean during April, as the sea surface temperature in the Niño3.4 region […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 11, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA El Niño Update: El Niño is Likely to Continue Through the Summer and Fall El Niño is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (70% chance) and fall (55-60% chance) ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory An ENSO discussion taken from the Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS During April, above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) persisted across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Fig. 1), reflecting the ongoing El Niño. All of the latest […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 9, 2019 0 Comments
Chances of El Niño for Upcoming Winter in Australia Are 70% | Triple Normal Likelihood The chance of El Niño developing in 2019 has increased to approximately 70%, around triple the normal likelihood, for the upcoming Australia winter season. Tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures have touched on El Niño thresholds for the past three weeks, while waters below the surface are also slightly warmer than average, writes the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The Bureau’s ENSO Outlook has moved to […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 22, 2019 0 Comments
February 2019 ENSO Update: El Niño Conditions Are Here! Post from the climate.gov ENSO Blog – Author: Emily Becker After several months of flirting, the tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere appear to have coupled just in time for Valentine’s Day and now meet the criteria for El Niño conditions. Is it true love? Time will tell, but forecasters expect weak El Niño conditions to persist through the spring. Say […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 14, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Blog: ‘90% Chance that El Niño Conditions Will Form Soon and Last Through the Winter’ This post was written by Emily Becker for the NOAA ENSO Blog The surface of the tropical Pacific Ocean is nice and warm, but the atmosphere just doesn’t seem interested. Will these two crazy kids get in sync and qualify as El Niño conditions? Forecasters think there’s a 90% chance that will happen soon and continue through the winter. Will-they-or-won’t-they Following our […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 14, 2018 0 Comments
NOAA Increases Chance of an El Niño Winter to Greater than 80% Chances of El Niño to form and continue through the northern hemisphere winter 2018/19 have increased from 70% to more than 80%, the NOAA announced today. El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19 (~80% chance) and into spring (55-60% chance). ENSO-neutral continued during October, despite widespread above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 8, 2018 0 Comments
NOAA’s 2018-19 El Niño Winter Outlook | Another Mild Winter? ENSO Blog: Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter El Niño outlook Author: Mike Halpert The air is starting to feel crisp, the leaves are changing, and the aroma of pumpkin spice lattes are filling your favorite coffee shops. This can only mean one thing – it’s time for my annual post on NOAA’s expectations for the upcoming winter! And once […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 23, 2018 0 Comments
THIS Is What El Nino Does To The USA: Here is some interesting snowfall data for El Niño years. These maps show the average October through April snowfall anomalies for El Niño years from 1950 to 2009. The maps show the anomalies for all El Niños, weak El Niños, and strong El Niños. We are expecting a weak El Niño this year, which looks promising for above average snowfall, […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 22, 2018 0 Comments
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