How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2022/23 Winter Outlook Don’t look now, but it’s winter outlook verification time! A time when I like to take readers on a statistical sojourn, a mathematical migration, through last year’s winter outlook. By the end of this post, you’ll have been provided with a non-alcoholic, numbered nightcap in the form of an answer to the question, “How did the winter outlook do?” (Sorry. […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 24, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA February 2023 Outlook: The Pattern That Brought Record-Breaking Snow to the West is Coming to an End The NOAA recently released its outlook for February. With precipitation returning to normal, or below-normal, it looks like the snow that has slammed the west for the last couple of months will return to normal. The discussion is below: Below-normal temperatures are favored for the Alaska Panhandle, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern California eastward to the Northern Plains. Above normal temperature […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 31, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA Updated January Outlook: Forecast Looks Perfect For California The NOAA just updated its outlook for January 2023. The forecast looks perfect for the Sierra Nevada, with below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation expected. The full discussion is below: Early in the month, much of the CONUS is expected to experience above-normal temperatures, while below-normal temperatures are likely from California to the Intermountain West. During week-2, the favoring of above-normal temperatures […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 3, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA Climate Report: US Hit With Historic Snowfall, Late-Season Hurricane in November Last month a number of significant weather events struck the U.S., including late-season Hurricane Nicole and record-breaking lake-effect snow in parts of New York. Despite an overall average month for temperatures and precipitation, the U.S. saw decreased drought across the nation, according to scientists from NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). Below are highlights from NOAA’s U.S. climate report […] WeatherBrains | December 9, 2022 0 Comments
[UPDATED] NOAA December Outlook: Colder and Wetter Than Normal for the West The NOAA recently updated its outlook for December. It’s looking colder and wetter than normal for the majority of the west. Bring it! Full discussion below: Arctic high pressure is forecast to shift southward to the western and north-central CONUS at the beginning of December. Below-normal temperatures are favored for the north-central CONUS along with parts of the West. The largest […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 5, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update: Another Winter in La Niña’s Grip? – November Update to 2022-23 Winter Outlook While it’s a little intimidating to put on these oversized shoes, I’m forging ahead in an annual ENSO Blog tradition and giving you all the juicy details about NOAA’s Winter Outlook (1). Regular readers may remember that Mike Halpert of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has been the blog’s winter outlook guru for years, but following Mike’s retirement earlier […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 23, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA 8-14 Day Outlook: Colder in the East, Warmer in the West Brought to you by Ski.com Yesterday the NOAA released its outlook for the end of November. The second half of November into December typically sees the majority of ski resorts open for the season; will Mother Nature be kind to them? Discussion is below: “…the western CONUS is favored for above normal temperatures, especially Washington and Oregon. Snow cover in higher […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 15, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA Nov-Dec-Jan Outlook: Majority of Ski States to See Unseasonably Warm Start to Winter The November-December-January 2022-2023 temperature outlook depicts elevated odds for above-normal seasonal mean temperatures for western Alaska, much of the western U.S. to include the central Great Basin, central and southern Rockies, and Southwest, eastward to include much of the central and southern Great Plains, areas of the Southeast and along the Atlantic seaboard. The greatest likelihood for warmer than normal […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 21, 2022 0 Comments
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