Official NOAA El Nino Update: 90% Chance El Nino Will Continue Into Winter 2015/16 NOAA just released their latest El Nino update today and they are saying that there is now greater than a 90% chance that the current El Nino will continue through our Northern winter 2015/16. There is even a 80% that the current El Nino will continue through Spring 2016. Boom! NOAA is also saying that many models are predicting the current El Nino to develop into a Strong El Nino during the norther winter of 2015/16. 4 of the 5 recorded Strong El Nino’s in California have resulted in Above Average Snowfall. Weather SnowBrains | July 9, 2015 2 Comments