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weak el nino

NOAA VIDEO: “What Does a Weak El Nino Mean for Northern California?”

california flag map

Winter 2014/15 will mostly likely be a weak El Nino winter. NOAA has finally answered the question we’ve all be wondering in Northern California: “What does a weak El Nino mean for Northern California?” This video answers that question basically by saying that they have no idea what is going to happen. Great. The real take away is that El Nino doesn’t mean above average precipitation. Not what we skiers and riders wanna hear. That said, some weak El Nino years are damn good in California. Just look at 1978 in the graph above. […]

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SnowBrains | September 4, 2014
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Weak El Nino History in California: The Past 7 Weak El Nino’s by the Numbers

El Nino might make California a ski haven this winter. It also might not change anything. It also might make things worse than they already are (which is scary to imagine…). The reality is that the past 8 Strong, Moderate, and Weak El Ninos show that it’s El Nino in California, as far as precipitation goes, it essentially a 50/50 coin toss. According to NOAA, this year, it’s looking like we’ll most […]

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SnowBrains | August 15, 2014
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NOAA Report: Chance of El Nino DECREASED to 65% This Winter

Synopsis:The chance of El Niño has decreased to about 65% during the Northern Hemisphere fall and early winter.During July 2014, above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) continued in the far eastern equatorial Pacific, but near average SSTs prevailed in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 1). Most of the Niño indices decreased toward the end of the month with values of +0.3°C in Niño-4, -0.1°C in Niño-3.4, +0.2°C in Niño-3, and +0.6°C in Niño-1+2 (Fig. 2). Subsurface heat content anomalies (averaged between 180º-100ºW) continued to decrease and are slightly below average (Fig. 3). […]

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SnowBrains | August 8, 2014
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