This video is a candid peak into the mind of long range Tahoe forecaster Brian Allegretto’s brain.
He drops some great info in this video but our favorite part is when he tells us how these Strong El Nino’s typically convert into a La Ninas the following year.
In 2009/2010, we had a moderate El Nino and a great snow year in Tahoe. In 2010/2011, we had a strong La Nina and Tahoe got the most snow they’ve ever had on record. Squaw recorded 811″ of snowfall that winter…
This year’s strong El Nino might not mean big snow where you live. But next year’s La Nina might mean big snow for all as it did in 2011.
BA stands for barley accurate. just saying
Not strong La Nina, just La Nina. I said hopefully we get a moderate to strong La Nina.
Also record high El Nino 1997-98 was followed by the noted 1998-99 La Nina that yielded the Mt. Baker world record snowfall.
And a fairly strong El Nino in 1972-73 was followed by the record strong La Nina of 1973-74.
No guarantees, as no La Nina ensued from the strong El Nino of 1982-83. There were some high snowfall records in 1983-84 in Utah and Colorado though.
83-84 was ranked as a weak La Nina. The 2 super strong El Ninos flipped to La Ninas the following season. 3 of 5 strong El Ninos flipped La Ninas. 4 of 7 moderate Ninos flipped to Nina’s the following season. 3 of 11 weak Ninos flipped to Ninas. Seems the stronger the Nino the better chance it flips the following season to La Nina historically.