“There’s no longer a possibility that El Niño wimps out at this point. It’s too big to fail.”
“And the winter over North America is definitely not going to be normal” – Bill Patzert, climatologist for NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California
Just three weeks ago, the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center raised the odds of California getting doused with a wetter-than-average winter. Southern California now has more than a 60% chance of a wet winter, a 33% chance of a normal winter and less than a 7% chance of a dry winter.
The odds of a wet winter further north are increasing too. San Francisco has more than a 40% chance of a wet winter, 33% chance of a normal winter and less than a 27% chance of a dry winter.
Patzert said that in the last 140 years in California, seven out of every 10 years are dry, so it would be foolish to declare an end to water conservation during this winter’s rains. – LA Times
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