This is what NOAA is saying about this weekend’s storm in California today:
- “potentially strong system”
- “atmospheric river”
- “Snow levels will start high, above 7000 feet before crashing behind the cold front late Sunday”
- “The active weather pattern looks to continue through the middle of next week, and possibly into the middle of March”
Sunday looks like the big day with a potentially strong system. Both the GFS/EC show a potent system moving in with rain/snow and strong winds. The GFS does not look as impressive for precip east of the crest due to more south winds as the atmospheric river makes landfall. However, the EC has more favorable SW winds and more significant precip east of the crest. Either way, travel impacts are likely Sunday with this system. Snow levels will start high, above 7000 feet before crashing behind the cold front late Sunday. The active weather pattern looks to continue through the middle of next week, and possibly into the middle of March." - NOAA Reno, NV today
This is looking very good for California and all of the Western USA. We’ve got our fingers crossed tightly.
The above map is suggesting 1-2 feet of snowfall for the Lake Tahoe region by March 6th and the storm scenario timelines above both look great.
“Confidence is increasing for a pattern change by next weekend, with some model simulations showing a rather stormy pattern developing. Although it is much too early to hammer down the finer details, it is early enough to give a heads up for the potential of travel impacts. Confidence is medium-high for seeing at least one decent storm between Sunday and Tuesday, but details such as snow/rain/wind magnitudes and timing are low confidence for now. Here are two scenarios for the storms next weekend based on the most recent simulations. Although there are breaks represented in the graphic between the storms for both scenarios, we highly recommend monitoring the weather through the week as the timing of these storms will likely change.” – NOAA Reno, NV today
If this “rather stormy pattern” develops as NOAA is forecasting, we could be looking at one helluva Miracle March and we need it as the California drought has gone NO WHERE, yet…
February was a total bust in California with record heat and only one storm that brought about 2-feet of snow. That record heat will continue all week this week until this pattern change arrives this weekend.
“Another warm day in store for NorCal. A few high temperature records for#LeapDay could be broken!” – NOAA Sacramento, CA today
Lets turn this thing around in back into a wet, nasty, snowy El Nino pattern for March & April in the USA!