NOAA’s Official October Outlook for the USA:

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NOAA's precipitation forecast for October in the USA showing above average precipitation in the Southwest, Utah, Colorado as well as the North Central region of the USA.  Below average precipitation is forecast in the Pacific Northwest.
NOAA’s precipitation outllok for October 2014 in the USA showing above average precipitation in the Southwest, Utah, Colorado, Southern Alaska, as well as the North Central region of the USA. Below average precipitation is forecast in the Pacific Northwest.

NOAA has just released their official outlook for the month of October in the USA.  NOAA’s forecasts continue to display a strong tendency towards El Nino patterns despite El Nino chances of occurring sliming down each month.  In NOAA’s latest El Nino update, they’re giving El Nino a 65% chance of occurring during the North American winter.

October snowstorms get us excited about ski season, often allow for some backcountry skiing, and help the early bird ski resorts open their doors.  October snowfalls can also lead to rotten winter snowpacks via faceting in the Rockies and elsewhere.

NOAA's temperature forecast for October in the USA showing above average temperatures on the West Coast, Alaska, the Gulf Coast and the East Coast.  Below average temperature are forecast in New Mexico and Colorado.
NOAA’s temperature outlook for October 2014 in the USA showing above average temperatures on the West Coast, Alaska, the Gulf Coast and the East Coast. Below average temperature are forecast in New Mexico and Colorado.

October is a strange, almost nervous month in the USA.  Big questions are asked and sometimes answered in October:

Does early season snowfall say anything about the coming season?  

Might we have an early winter?  

Will this early snow ruin our snowpack?

Winter doesn’t truly get going in earnest until November, so in general, we can all just relax.  That said, we wouldn’t mind the snow machine turning on in October and never stopping…

 


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