Official NOAA Outlook for June in the USA:

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NOAA's June temperature outlook shows above average temperatures for the West Coast, the East Coast, and Alaska.  Below average temperatures are forecast in the southcentral region of the USA.
NOAA’s June temperature outlook shows above average temperatures for the West Coast, the East Coast, and Alaska. Below average temperatures are forecast in the south central region of the USA.

NOAA just released their outlook for the month of June in North America.

The above graph is showing that NOAA is forecasting above average temperatures for the West Coast, the East Coast, and Alaska.  Below average temperatures are forecast for the south central USA and into Colorado and Wyoming.

The below graph is showing that NOAA is forecasting above average precipitation for the Southeast and select states in the West including Idaho, Utah, Colorado, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Montana.

If you live in ski country in the Rocky Mountain West, this June is looking like it could be a wet one for you.  

This very well may add up to even more snow for Arapahoe Basin ski resort in Colorado.  A-Basin open until June 14th this year.

 

NOAA's June precipitation outlook shows above average precipitation for the south east the central US, as well as select states in the West including Idaho, Utah, Colorado, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Montana.
NOAA’s June precipitation outlook shows above average precipitation for the south east the central US, as well as select states in the West including Idaho, Utah, Colorado, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Montana.

NOAA Discussion for Monthly Outlook:

PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR MONTHLY OUTLOOK 
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 
830AM EDT THURSDAY MAY 21 2015 
 
30-DAY OUTLOOK DISCUSSION FOR JUNE 2015 
 
EQUATORIAL SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) ANOMALIES REMAINED ABOVE NORMAL FOR 
MUCH OF THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MUCH OF NORTH 
AMERICA. COUPLING BETWEEN THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN OVER THE TROPICAL PACIFIC 
REMAINS STRONG, WITH ENHANCED CONVECTION AND ANOMALOUS LOW-LEVEL WESTERLIES 
OBSERVED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS NEAR THE DATE LINE. 
 
DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON BOTH THE TEMPERATURE 
AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS FOR JUNE. A PLETHORA OF DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE WAS 
CONSULTED, INCLUDING DETERMINISTIC AND PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE FROM THE WMO 
GLOBAL PRODUCING CENTERS, WHICH INCLUDES MODELS FROM THE ECMWF AND UKMET, AMONG 
OTHERS. GIVEN THE LATE TIME AT WHICH THIS FORECAST WAS ISSUED, THE MAPS WERE 
SLIGHTLY TWEAKED TO REFLECT THE LATEST GUIDANCE ON WEEKS 3 AND 4 FROM THE ECMWF 
AND CFS COUPLED SYSTEMS. 
 
THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE CONSULTED INCLUDED THE FOLLOWING: CONSTRUCTED ANALOG 
BASED ON SOIL MOISTURE, COMPOSITE ANALOG BASED ON TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE SSTS 
NEAR NORTH AMERICA, AND SEASONAL CORRELATIONS BETWEEN ENSO AND SURFACE 
PARAMETERS FOR JJA. THESE TOOLS GENERALLY AGREED WITH THE LARGEST SIGNALS FROM 
THE DYNAMICAL MODELS, HOWEVER, THEY INTRODUCED UNCERTAINTY OVER THE NORTHEAST, 
WHERE THE NMME SUITE FAVORED ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AS WELL AS OVER THE 
SOUTHWEST, WHERE THE DYNAMICAL MODELS MAY HAVE BEEN A BIT WARM. IT MAY INTEREST 
THE USER THAT THE FORECAST IS ALSO CONSISTENT WITH 2-MONTH LAGGED CORRELATIONS 
BETWEEN THE PDO AND AMO INDICES. THAT INFORMATION IS PARTLY CONTAINED WITHIN 
THE AFOREMENTIONED COMPOSITE ANALOG BASED ON SST. 
 
THE LARGEST SIGNAL FOR BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS CENTERED OVER NORTH 
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA, WHERE SOIL MOISTURE CURRENTLY EXCEEDS THE 90TH PERCENTILE AND 
ALL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT. LIKEWISE, THE TOOLS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER 
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ALASKA, WHERE THE BEST CHANCES OF 
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RESIDE. UNCERTAINTY IS LARGEST NEAR THE EAST COAST 
AND GREAT LAKES, WHERE EVERYTHING WAS SUBJECTIVELY COMBINED TO YIELD THE MAP AS 
IT STANDS. 
 
THE ONLY SUBSTANTIAL SIGNALS FOR PRECIPITATION COME FROM UNANIMOUS DYNAMICAL 
AGREEMENT FAVORING ABOVE-MEDIAN RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL CONUS, 
EXTENDING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. STATISTICAL GUIDANCE IS REASONABLY ON BOARD 
WITH THIS, THOUGH PROBABILITIES ARE GENERALLY LOW TO REFLECT HISTORICALLY POOR 
FORECAST SKILL IN THE 0.5 MONTH LEAD PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK. 
 
IN AREAS WHERE THERE ARE NO STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT CLIMATE SIGNALS, SUCH 
THAT THE LIKELIHOODS OF MONTHLY MEAN TEMPERATURES OR MONTHLY ACCUMULATED 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EQUAL TO CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES, EQUAL CHANCES 
(EC) IS INDICATED. 

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