NOAA: May 2019 ENSO Update – 70% Chance El Niño Conditions Continue Through Summer and In To Fall This post was written by Emily Becker for the NOAA ENSO Blog Forecasters estimate a 70% chance that our current El Niño will continue through the summer and a 55-60% chance it will extend into the fall. Just a number El Niño conditions were still evident across the tropical Pacific Ocean during April, as the sea surface temperature in the Niño3.4 region […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 11, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA El Niño Update: El Niño is Likely to Continue Through the Summer and Fall El Niño is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2019 (70% chance) and fall (55-60% chance) ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory An ENSO discussion taken from the Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS During April, above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) persisted across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Fig. 1), reflecting the ongoing El Niño. All of the latest […] Weather WeatherBrains | May 9, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA: April 2019 ENSO Update – El Niño Will Remain Through Summer and In To The Fall This post was written by Emily Becker for the NOAA ENSO Blog The Great Puny El Niño of 2018–19 continued through March, and forecasters predict it will likely remain through the summer and possibly continue into the fall. The tropical Pacific Ocean shows El Niño’s fingerprint clearly, with warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures stretching across the equator. Related: What Is El Nino? | What […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 12, 2019 0 Comments
Chances of El Niño for Upcoming Winter in Australia Are 70% | Triple Normal Likelihood The chance of El Niño developing in 2019 has increased to approximately 70%, around triple the normal likelihood, for the upcoming Australia winter season. Tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures have touched on El Niño thresholds for the past three weeks, while waters below the surface are also slightly warmer than average, writes the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The Bureau’s ENSO Outlook has moved to […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 22, 2019 0 Comments
February 2019 ENSO Update: El Niño Conditions Are Here! Post from the climate.gov ENSO Blog – Author: Emily Becker After several months of flirting, the tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere appear to have coupled just in time for Valentine’s Day and now meet the criteria for El Niño conditions. Is it true love? Time will tell, but forecasters expect weak El Niño conditions to persist through the spring. Say […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 14, 2019 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Blog: ‘90% Chance that El Niño Conditions Will Form Soon and Last Through the Winter’ This post was written by Emily Becker for the NOAA ENSO Blog The surface of the tropical Pacific Ocean is nice and warm, but the atmosphere just doesn’t seem interested. Will these two crazy kids get in sync and qualify as El Niño conditions? Forecasters think there’s a 90% chance that will happen soon and continue through the winter. Will-they-or-won’t-they Following our […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 14, 2018 0 Comments
NOAA: 90% Chance of El Nino This Winter | El Nino Watch Issued! NOAA Press Release: EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION Issued By: CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society 13 December 2018 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch Synopsis: El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018- 19 (~90% chance) and through spring (~60% chance). ENSO-neutral continued during November, […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 13, 2018 0 Comments
NOAA Increases Chance of an El Niño Winter to Greater than 80% Chances of El Niño to form and continue through the northern hemisphere winter 2018/19 have increased from 70% to more than 80%, the NOAA announced today. El Niño is expected to form and continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2018-19 (~80% chance) and into spring (55-60% chance). ENSO-neutral continued during October, despite widespread above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 8, 2018 0 Comments