el nino

NOAA’s Official Outlook for Winter 2015/16 in the USA

NOAA precipitation forecast for winter 2015/16. NOAA expects higher than average precip in the southern half of the country and drier than average conditions in the Pacific Northwest

NOAA has just released their outlook for the 2015/16 USA Winter. NOAA is now expecting strong El Nino to continue through to Spring 2015/16 and that prediction is powerfully affecting their outlook for the coming winter. This forecast looks good for skiing and riding in Calfiornia, Arizona, south Colorado, & New Mexico with above average precipitation forecast. This forecast looks bad for the Pacific Northwest, […]
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Official NOAA El Nino Update: Strong El Nino Likely for Winter 2015/16

NOAA is saying that there is an 85% chance that the current El Nino will last into the 2015/16 North American winter. They are now also saying that they favor a “Strong” El Nino for winter 2015/16. “NOAA CPC/IRI forecasters are now very confident that the event will continue through the fall (over 90% chance) and into the winter (~85% chance).” – NOAA “…forecasters currently favor a “strong” event for the fall/early winter.” – NOAA […]
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More Good “El Nino” News for South American Winter:

Weather information outlets are beginning to corroborate about the “ski resort section” of the Andes in South America receiving above average precipitation this southern hemisphere winter. Specifically, we are talking about the Southern Andes mountains where all the best ski resorts in South America live. In the above map, that “ski resort section” of the Andes is the southwestern part of South America that is colored in the green that correlates to “Turning Wet”. NOAA already published information saying that they expect the southern Andes to get above average […]
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Strong El Nino Forecast for 2015/16 North American Winter:

The International Research Institute of Climate Sociology (IRI) based at Colombia University, NY released their latest El Nino update today and they are calling for a strong El Nino for winter 2015/16. That IRI El Nino update states two important things: A weak to moderate El Nino is currently occurring will continue until July, 2015 A moderate to strong El Nino will develop this summer and continue into 2016. We only have 5 strong El Ninos on record in Northern California and 4 out of 5 of them delivered above average precipitation in California. Once El Nino cools […]
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Official NOAA El Nino Update: 90% El Nino Will Continue Until 2016

A strong El Nino was hyped up last summer then fizzled and didn’t show up until March 2015. Now, reports are going nuts about El Nino being moderate to strong once again. NOAA weighed in today saying that they think El Nino has an 80% chance of staying around until New Years 2016. So, what does El Nino during our summer mean for North America? Pretty much nothing since El Nino’s main impacts in North America occur during winter. At this point, it’s too early to forecast what […]
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El Nino FINALLY Arrives | NOAA Report:

Historical March - May El Nino Precipitation patterns.

After months of straddling the fence, the atmosphere and ocean over the tropical Pacific have finally leaned far enough toward El Niño that forecasters have declared an El Niño advisory. In this week’s ENSO blog, Emily Becker with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center explains the atmospheric and oceanic conditions that finally—but barely—tipped the scales. This map pair from the blog shows how El Niño has affected U.S. precipitation during the 10 years of the modern instrument record during which El Niño was present […]
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