NOAA September 2021 ENSO Update: Chance of a La Niña Winter Increased to 70-80% This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Emily Becker. It’s likely that the tropical Pacific is on the verge of getting into the La Niña groove, and forecasters estimate a 70-80% chance of La Niña this winter. NOAA’s forecast discussion says “the ocean-atmosphere system reflected ENSO-neutral [in August], but is edging toward La Niña.” […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 9, 2021 1 Comment
NOAA: Forecasters Increase Likelihood of La Niña Winter to 70% This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Nat Johnson ENSO-neutral conditions continue in the tropics, but ENSO’s next performance may be approaching, as forecasters have increased the likelihood (~70% probability) that La Niña will reemerge by early winter. A La Niña Watch remains in effect. Related: La Niña Explained: July, the ENSO, Winter 21/22 […] Weather WeatherBrains | August 13, 2021 2 Comments
Direct Weather Shares 2021-2022 Winter Forecast Direct Weather issued their 2021-2022 winter forecast this week. Long-range forecasts like these aren’t necessarily gospel and should be taken with a grain of salt, however, teleconnection patterns can sometimes accurately indicate synoptic-scale trends. Summary: The forecast calls for above-average snowfall in the Pacific Northwest, Montana, Wyoming, and most of the East Coast this winter. The forecast calls for a drier […] Weather Clay Malott | August 5, 2021 2 Comments
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