NOAA ENSO December 2022 Update: La Niña Will Transition to Neutral in Jan-March As our regular readers will be very aware, La Niña has been rolling along in the tropical Pacific for many months, and our third La Niña winter in a row is underway. La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (“ENSO” for short) climate pattern. The current forecast is for La Niña to continue into the winter, […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 9, 2022 0 Comments
NASA: La Niña 3 Times – Looking at This Relatively Weak but Unusually Prolonged Event In December 2022, Earth was in the grips of La Niña—an oceanic phenomenon characterized by the presence of cooler-than-normal sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific. The current La Niña, relatively weak but unusually prolonged, began in 2020 and has returned for its third consecutive northern hemisphere winter, making this a rare “triple-dip” event. Other triple-dip La Niña’s […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 8, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO Update: Another Winter in La Niña’s Grip? – November Update to 2022-23 Winter Outlook While it’s a little intimidating to put on these oversized shoes, I’m forging ahead in an annual ENSO Blog tradition and giving you all the juicy details about NOAA’s Winter Outlook (1). Regular readers may remember that Mike Halpert of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has been the blog’s winter outlook guru for years, but following Mike’s retirement earlier […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 23, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO November 2022 Update: 76% Chance La Niña Continues Through Winter It’s very likely that La Niña will last through the winter (December–February), with a transition to ENSO-neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) expected during February–April. Specifically, there’s a 76% chance of La Niña through the winter and a 57% chance of neutral in the February–April period. Related: VIDEO: La Niña & El Niño Explained in Less Than 2 Minutes […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 11, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA: Where Does Global Warming Go During La Niña? Here at the ENSO blog, we’ve been talking about La Niña (the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation climate pattern) for going on three years now. People have started to tell us they’re bored ask us whether all these La Niñas could offset global warming.The short answer is no, La Niña is no match for global warming. (Footnote 1) […] Weather SnowBrains | November 9, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO October Update: 75% Chance La Niña Will Last Through Winter For what seems like the 247th month in a row, La Niña is still in charge in the tropical Pacific. It’s really only been about a year with continuous La Niña, as it took a break summer 2021 and re-developed October 2021, but it seems like longer! There’s a 75% chance La Niña will be present this winter (December–February); forecasters […] Weather SnowBrains | October 13, 2022 0 Comments
NOAA ENSO September 2022 Update: 91% Chance of Fall La Niña, 80% Chance Winter La Niña Ocean and atmospheric conditions tell us that La Niña—the cool phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) climate pattern—currently reigns in the tropical Pacific. It’s looking very likely that the long-predicted third consecutive La Niña winter will happen, with a 91% chance of La Niña through September–November and an 80% chance through the early winter (November–January). 91%! That’s very high. […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 12, 2022 0 Comments
The New Zealand Resort That Might Not Open At All This Year: Mt. Taranaki While we reported on Mt. Lyford resort closing and Mt. Ruapehu temporarily closing this southern hemisphere season, there is a resort in New Zealand that has not even opened yet—at all. The Manganui Ski Area at Mt. Taranaki on New Zealand’s North Island is located 45 mins from the coastal town of New Plymouth which is on the west coast. […] Industry News Julia Schneemann | September 1, 2022 1 Comment