NOAA El Nino Update: “What Happened to El Nino??” Is El Nino AWOL? Is El Nino Missing?? It’s been dry this month… really dry… It’s no secret that the storms have basically stopped for the entire month of February. California saw only one storm in February while the rest of the month has been nothing but sun and record temperatures. Yesterday, valley locations in CA saw over 80ºF and […] Weather WeatherBrains | February 25, 2016 1 Comment
Official NOAA El Nino Update: El Nino Will Begin Its Fade Back to Normal Temps NOAA just released their official El Nino update today. They’re stating that El Nino is expected to gradually weaken through Spring 2016, returning to normal sea surface temperatures by late spring/early summer. What they don’t mention yet is the high possibility of La Nina next season… La Nina has traditionally mean huge snowfall for North America including 811″ of snow […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 14, 2016 0 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: Current El Nino is NOT Strongest on Record, Current Strong El Nino Should Last Until Spring No, the current El Nino is not the strongest on record, yet. Media outlets reporting that are incorrect. NOAA won’t be able to tell if this is the strongest on record until February 2016 when the November, December, and January sea surface averages have been recorded and compared to other El Nino years. On average, the current El Nino wasn’t […] Weather WeatherBrains | December 10, 2015 0 Comments
“Not What I Ordered! How El Nino Is Like A Bad Bartender” by NOAA Let’s face it: El Niño is the life of the party. He’s the Most Interesting Child in the World. The good folks over at The ENSO Blog have filled up a whole blog, and still there are enough leftovers for Beyond the Data, where we don’t always blog about teleconnections, but when we do, we prefer El Niño. We’ve already written about how El Niño will push the needle toward 2015 being the warmest year on […] Weather Guest Author | October 2, 2015 0 Comments
NOAA El Nino Update from Today: 67% Chance of El Nino This Fall Today, NOAA released their latest El Nino update. Here is the summary of this latest report: Most models predict El Niño to develop during October-December 2014 and to continue into early 2015 (Fig. 6). The consensus of forecasters indicates a 2-in-3 chance of El Niño during the November 2014 – January 2015 season. This El Niño will likely remain weak (3-month values of the Niño-3.4 index between 0.5°C and 0.9°C) throughout its duration. In summary, El Niño is favored to begin in the next 1-2 months and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome). – NOAA […] Weather SnowBrains | October 9, 2014 1 Comment
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