How Off Was NOAA’s Winter 2015 Outlook for the USA? Last Fall, NOAA created outlooks for both precipitation and temperatures in the USA. Their models strongly reflected El Nino patterns as an El Nino was expected to show up. El Nino didn’t end up showing up until last week. What NOAA did get right was a warmer than average West. This translated into above average temperatures for much of the winter along with rain in the place of snow when precipitation moved in. Much of the American West had a rough ski season with Washington, Oregon, and California having especially bad winters. […] SnowBrains | March 17, 2015 0 Comments
Official NOAA February Outlook for the USA: NOAA recently released their outlook forecast for February 2015 in the USA. This February outlook continues to favor an El Nino pattern despite El Nino having never shown up this winter. NOAA is now only giving El Nino a 50-50 chance of showing up, which is the same as saying “I have absolutely no idea.” No ski zone in the USA is exactly “favored” by this NOAA February outlook because nearly all the Western USA is forecast to experience above average temperatures. The only ski zones that are forecast to receive above […] Weather SnowBrains | January 23, 2015 0 Comments