How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2022/23 Winter Outlook Don’t look now, but it’s winter outlook verification time! A time when I like to take readers on a statistical sojourn, a mathematical migration, through last year’s winter outlook. By the end of this post, you’ll have been provided with a non-alcoholic, numbered nightcap in the form of an answer to the question, “How did the winter outlook do?” (Sorry. […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 24, 2023 0 Comments
NOAA Releases Mid-Winter Outlook: Here’s What December, January, and February Might Look Like The NOAA released its seasonal outlooks today, including December, January, and February 2022-23. Above normal precipitation over the Pacific Northwest through parts of the Northern Plains is favored along with elevated odds of below normal temperatures over the northern U.S., stretching from the Pacific Northwest to parts of the western Great Lakes. Temperature The December-January-February (DJF) 2022-2023 temperature outlook depicts elevated […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 17, 2022 0 Comments
How Did They Do? NOAA Analyzes its 2021/22 Winter Outlook Some would call it the most famous annual March tradition. No, I’m not talking about March Madness or St. Patrick’s Day. I’m talking about our annual look back at the Climate Prediction Center’s Winter Outlook to see how well it did. Warning: Some math will follow. At the ENSO Blog, we’re not the types to simply give you a thumbs […] Weather WeatherBrains | April 8, 2022 1 Comment
NOAA Updated Winter Outlook – Colder Than Normal in PNW, Alaska, Montana | Above Normal Precipitation for PNW, Northern Rockies The NOAA just released an updated outlook for December, January, and February. Related: Farmers’ Almanac Releases Highly Anticipated Winter 2021/22 Weather Outlook Full discussion below: The December-January-February 2021-2022 temperature outlook depicts elevated odds of above-normal seasonal mean temperatures for most of the southern half of the U.S. and for the eastern third of the nation. The greatest likelihood for above-normal […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 23, 2021 0 Comments
NOAA 3-Month Outlook: How Does the Beginning of Winter Look? Earlier this week the NOAA released an updated outlook for the beginning of winter, and what weather that might bring. Related: NOAA September 2021 ENSO Update: Chance of a La Niña Winter Increased to 70-80% It’s looking good for the PNW, where cooler and wetter than normal conditions are forecast. In California, the exact opposite is predicted, the start to […] Weather WeatherBrains | September 21, 2021 0 Comments
NOAA: Winter Outlook 2020-2021 – A Look Back This post first appeared on the climate.gov ENSO blog and was written by Tom Di Liberto Ah, spring. Flowers blooming, birds chirping, engrossing ENSO Blog articles verifying the winter outlook. What’s not to like?! So let’s look back at the Climate Prediction Center’s Winter Outlook for 2020-2021 and take a nuanced look at how seasonal outlooks are made. MATH ALERT! […] Weather WeatherBrains | March 26, 2021 0 Comments
NOAA’s Updated 2020-21 Winter Outlook: What to Expect This La Niña Winter… This updated winter outlook first appeared on climate.gov on the ENSO blog and was written by Mike Halpert In a year when many traditions have been disrupted, I’m happy to say one remains intact—my annual blog post on NOAA’s Winter Outlook! (1) This year is a bit different from some of my recent winter outlook posts because there’s no need […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 30, 2020 0 Comments
NOAA Winter Outlook for the USA: Cooler North, Warmer South With Ongoing La Niña NOAA just released their Winter 2020/21 US Winter Outlook. This outlook looks good for: The Pacific Northwest (Crystal Mountain, Mt. Baker, White Pass, Timberline Lodge, Mt. Hood Meadows) Northern Wyoming (Jackson Hole, Grand Targhee) Idaho (Tamarack, Schweitzer) Montana (Big Sky, Bridger Bowl) The Mid-West This outlook looks bad for: California Arizona New Mexico Southern Colorado Full NOAA article below: by […] Weather WeatherBrains | October 16, 2020 0 Comments
Weather
