NOAA 6-10 Day Outlook: Not Looking Good For Skiers – Cold and Dry Right Across the West

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6-10 day temperature outlook. Credit: NOAA

The NOAA just updated its outlook for the upcoming 6-10 days. It’s not looking good for skiers. The west will be cold and dry. The northeast may be your best chance of fresh snow with an increased probability of precipitation.

The full discussion is below:

Above-normal temperatures are favored for Alaska, associated with an amplified 500-hPa ridge and above-normal 500-hPa heights. Enhanced probabilities of below-normal temperatures are favored across the western two-thirds of the CONUS, extending northeastward to Great Lakes and interior Northeast, beneath an amplified, positively-tilted mean mid-level trough. Enhanced odds of above-normal temperatures are indicated for parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, due to predicted return flow to the west of a mean subtropical ridge over the Atlantic.

The potential for several storm systems tracking ahead of a mean trough centered over the western Bering Sea and Kamchatka Peninsula favors above-normal precipitation probabilities across southwestern Alaska, and encompassing a large portion of the Mainland. The predicted ridge over the Northeast Pacific favors increased odds of below-normal precipitation across the western CONUS and parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Downstream, surface low pressure is predicted to develop early in the period across the Four Corners, increasing odds of above-normal precipitation. This feature is favored to intensify over the Southern Plains as it moves east-northeastward along a mean frontal boundary over the Southeast, enhancing odds of above-normal precipitation from the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Below-normal precipitation is favored across the Florida Peninsula, ahead of the aforementioned mean frontal boundary over the Southeast.

6-10 day precipitation outlook. Credit: NOAA





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