NOAA Feb-Mar-Apr Outlook: West Warmer than Normal, California Drier than Normal

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temperature, outlook, NOAA
Temperature outlook for Feb through April. Credit: NOAA

The February-March-April (FMA) 2020 temperature outlook favors above-normal temperatures from central and southern portions of the West, across the southern tier of the CONUS, and the East Coast states. Increased chances for below-normal temperatures during the period are forecast across the northern Great Plains, the Upper Mississippi Valley, and the western half of the Great Lakes. Equal chances of above, near, or below-normal temperatures are indicated across the remainder of the CONUS. Above normal temperatures are favored throughout much of Alaska, with the exception of equal chances over the extreme southeastern mainland and the Southeast Panhandle region.

outlook, precipitation,
Precipitation outlook for Feb through April. Credit: NOAA

The FMA 2020 precipitation outlook indicates enhanced probabilities of above-normal seasonal total precipitation amounts east-southeastward from the northern Intermountain region and the northern Rockies across the northern Plains, most of the Mississippi Valley, the Great Lakes region, and Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Below normal seasonal precipitation amounts are favored across southwestern Oregon, California, much of Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, and parts of West Texas. Equal chances are forecast among areas where seasonal precipitation amounts are expected to be similar to climatological probabilities. In Alaska, there are elevated probabilities of above-normal seasonal total precipitation amounts from about the Alaska Range northward to the Arctic Coast and equal chances for approximately the southern third of the state.

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