Old Farmer’s Almanac Summer 2023 Forecast: Warmer Than Normal Through Most of North America

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old farmer's almanac, summer forecast 2023
Your summer 2023 forecast. Credit: Old Farmer’s Almanac

The Old Farmer’s Almanac (not to be confused with the Farmer’s Almanac) has just released its long-range summer 2023 weather forecast. For over 230 years, the Almanac has been helping readers prepare for the seasons ahead with its 80 percent–accurate weather forecasts.

Here’s its full forecast below:

What weather’s in store this summer? If you’re hoping for a lot of pool or beach time, you may be happy about this forecast. Here are The Old Farmer’s Almanac weather predictions for the summer of 2023—including our summer weather maps for the U.S. and Canada.

Summer Forecast 2023 (U.S.)

Summer temperatures, on average, will be near to above normal through most of North America, but expect cooler than normal temperatures out West across the Rockies and Great Basin and also along the central and southern California coast.

In terms of rainfall, much of the country has average to above-normal rainfall, especially on the eastern half of the U.S., and normal to below-normal rainfall in many of the western states, which will dry out after a wet, cool winter.

  • Specifically, rainfall will be normal to below-normal from Texas up through Montana and Missouri west to Nevada.
  • But rainfall will be above normal elsewhere—from the Deep South up through the Ohio Valley and the Upper Midwest, as well as from the mid-Atlantic coast up to New England.

Most of Alaska and Hawaii will experience average to above-average temperatures and rain.

Summer Forecast 2023 (Canada)

Temperatures in Canada will be warmer than normal across much of the country, with the exception of cooler-than-normal conditions in the Northwest Territories.

Precipitation will be below normal from Atlantic Canada through southern Quebec and portions of southern Ontario and across the central and eastern Prairies and near to above normal elsewhere.

The 2023 Hurricane Season

The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1. In 2022, an oddly quiet period in July and August meant a more normal hurricane season. We expect 2023 to feature near- or slightly below-average activity, with a neutral to weak El Niño replacing the current La Niña.

The best chances for TROPICAL STORMS striking land will be in Texas in late July and then again in mid-to-late August when the Deep South will also be threatened. Up north, Atlantic Canada should be on the lookout for a tropical storm or hurricane hit in late August. See the full 2023 Hurricane Forecast.


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