Official NOAA El Nino Update: El Nino Will Begin Its Fade Back to Normal Temps NOAA just released their official El Nino update today. They’re stating that El Nino is expected to gradually weaken through Spring 2016, returning to normal sea surface temperatures by late spring/early summer. What they don’t mention yet is the high possibility of La Nina next season… La Nina has traditionally mean huge snowfall for North America including 811″ of snow […] Weather WeatherBrains | January 14, 2016 0 Comments
NOAA Official November Update: Current El Nino Is Strongest in 18 Years Yesterday, NOAA reported that the current El Nino is the strongest El Nino in 18 years just behind the 1997 El Nino event. At this point, it appears clear that the current El Nino event will not become stronger than the 1997 El Nino and will most likely en up being the 3rd strongest El Nino event on record. “The […] Weather WeatherBrains | November 13, 2015 0 Comments
This Photo is from Yesterday in Oregon… Early season stoke has begun in Oregon. It snowed in Oregon yesterday and apparently somewhere in the high Cascade Mountains it snowed enough to enjoy some serious powder skiing like this. Odds are it took quite a bit of effort to get this shot. Nice work. The forecast is suddenly looking better for Oregon ski areas. NOAA is saying “New […] Weather Jack Lafeman | October 27, 2015 0 Comments
NOAA Says “El Nino Will Be Strong” & Answers All Your Questions About El Nino: The only real way to answer this is to throw a bunch of numbers at you. Essentially, it’s “pretty strong.” The three-month, June-August average of sea surface temperatures in the Niño […] Industry News SnowBrains | September 10, 2015 0 Comments
Official NOAA August 2015 El Nino Update: Odds Are Good for California NOAA just released their latest El Nino update. They’re calling it Supercalifragilisticexpealidocious, which we think is a good sign. They expect that the current El Nino will peak in late fall/early winter and that it will be one of the strongest El Nino ever recorded. As of August, NOAA and IRI forecasters are predicting this El Niño will peak in the late fall/early winter with 3-month-average sea surface temperatures in the Niño3.4 region near or exceeding 2.0°C (3.6°F) above normal. If this forecast comes true, it will place the 2015 event among the strongest El Niños in the (admittedly short) 1950-2015 historical record. What would this mean for expected impacts in the United States? Weather SnowBrains | August 13, 2015 3 Comments
NOAA: 1997 El Nino & 2015 El Nino Side by Side Comparison NOAA just released this visual comparison of the 1997 El Nino (the strongest on record) side by side with the current El Nino that could potentially develop into the strongest El Nino on record. The main difference you see when you look at these two maps is that the Eastern Pacific near […] Weather SnowBrains | July 23, 2015 1 Comment
NOAA’s Official Outlook for Winter 2015/16 in the USA NOAA has just released their outlook for the 2015/16 USA Winter. NOAA is now expecting strong El Nino to continue through to Spring 2015/16 and that prediction is powerfully affecting their outlook for the coming winter. This forecast looks good for skiing and riding in Calfiornia, Arizona, south Colorado, & New Mexico with above average precipitation forecast. This forecast looks bad for the Pacific Northwest, […] Weather SnowBrains | July 20, 2015 6 Comments
NOAA Predicts “Weak” El Niño Event There is an approximately 50-60% chance of El Niño conditions during the next two months, according to a report released by the Climate Prediction Center at the NOAA. NOAA states that ENSO(El Niño/Southern Oscillation)-neutral conditions continue, with positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean. During December 2014, positive sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies decreased across the central and east-central equatorial Pacific. Weather ameliatraynor | January 20, 2015 0 Comments
NOAA El Nino Update from Today: 67% Chance of El Nino This Fall Today, NOAA released their latest El Nino update. Here is the summary of this latest report: Most models predict El Niño to develop during October-December 2014 and to continue into early 2015 (Fig. 6). The consensus of forecasters indicates a 2-in-3 chance of El Niño during the November 2014 – January 2015 season. This El Niño will likely remain weak (3-month values of the Niño-3.4 index between 0.5°C and 0.9°C) throughout its duration. In summary, El Niño is favored to begin in the next 1-2 months and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015 (click CPC/IRI consensus forecast for the chance of each outcome). – NOAA […] Weather SnowBrains | October 9, 2014 1 Comment
NOAA Video: El Nino ≠ Above Average Precipitation for NorCal | We Call B.S. We’ll admit it. We’ve been hyping up El Nino for California. 1982/83 was the wettest year on record in California and it was a strong El Nino year. 1997/98 was a our last strong El Nino and it was a huge year in Tahoe. NOAA wants us to understand that just because it’s El Nino, doesn’t mean that we’ll get above average precipitation in Northern California. They go to great lengths to display this knowledge. But, we know they’re wrong. They claim to have 64 El Nino cycles on record and from that data set, they’ve created this downer video for you to get depressed about.[…] Weather SnowBrains | June 9, 2014 3 Comments
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