What a Strong El Nino Means for Utah: In case you haven’t heard, El Nino is here now, it’s getting stronger, and the this El Nino may be the strongest on record. We know that in California, 4 of the 5 strong El Ninos on record have resulted in above average precipitation, but what does it mean for our snow-crazed friends in Utah? The only information we’ve been able to dig up so far is the last 5 strong El Nino snow totals at the Alta Guard station in Alta, Utah. The Alta Guard station sees an average annual snowfall of 499″. Two of the three strong El Nino’s produced below average snowfall, but not much below. 433″ in 65/66 and […] Weather SnowBrains | August 7, 2015 2 Comments
NOAA’s Official Outlook for Winter 2015/16 in the USA NOAA has just released their outlook for the 2015/16 USA Winter. NOAA is now expecting strong El Nino to continue through to Spring 2015/16 and that prediction is powerfully affecting their outlook for the coming winter. This forecast looks good for skiing and riding in Calfiornia, Arizona, south Colorado, & New Mexico with above average precipitation forecast. This forecast looks bad for the Pacific Northwest, […] Weather SnowBrains | July 20, 2015 6 Comments
Winter 2015/16 “Godzilla” El Nino Could Be Strongest on Record “Confidence continues to grow that this El Niรฑo will be one of the stronger El Niรฑos over the past 50 years. El Niรฑo typically reaches its peak during the December through February period.” – AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson “THIS IS GOING TO BE THE STRONGEST EL NINO […] SnowBrains | July 13, 2015 12 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: 90% Chance El Nino Will Continue Into Winter 2015/16 NOAA just released their latest El Nino update today and they are saying that there is now greater than a 90% chance that the current El Nino will continue through our Northern winter 2015/16. There is even a 80% that the current El Nino will continue through Spring 2016. Boom! NOAA is also saying that many models are predicting the current El Nino to develop into a Strong El Nino during the norther winter of 2015/16. 4 of the 5 recorded Strong El Nino’s in California have resulted in Above Average Snowfall. Weather SnowBrains | July 9, 2015 2 Comments
Official NOAA El Nino Update: Strong El Nino Likely for Winter 2015/16 NOAA is saying that there is an 85% chance that the current El Nino will last into the 2015/16 North American winter. They are now also saying that they favor a “Strong” El Nino for winter 2015/16. “NOAA CPC/IRI forecasters are now very confident that the event will continue through the fall (over 90% chance) and into the winter (~85% chance).” – NOAA “…forecasters currently favor a โstrongโ event for the fall/early winter.” – NOAA […] Weather SnowBrains | June 12, 2015 2 Comments
NOAA Report: Chance of El Nino DECREASED to 65% This Winter Synopsis:The chance of El Niรฑo has decreased to about 65% during the Northern Hemisphere fall and early winter.During July 2014, above-average sea surface temperatures (SST) continued in the far eastern equatorial Pacific, but near average SSTs prevailed in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific (Fig. 1). Most of the Niรฑo indices decreased toward the end of the month with values of +0.3ยฐC in Niรฑo-4, -0.1ยฐC in Niรฑo-3.4, +0.2ยฐC in Niรฑo-3, and +0.6ยฐC in Niรฑo-1+2 (Fig. 2). Subsurface heat content anomalies (averaged between 180ยบ-100ยบW) continued to decrease and are slightly below average (Fig. 3). […] Weather SnowBrains | August 8, 2014 4 Comments
Strong El Niรฑo Forecasted for 2014/15 | What Does It Mean for North America? El Niรฑo can be predictable up to 6 months out. Right now, it’s looking like a strong El Niรฑo is setting up and may begin as soon as April 2014. El Niรฑo hits Asia and North & South America the hardest. If this El Niรฑo does formulate and become strong, it’ll certainly be the biggest weather story of 2014. […] Weather SnowBrains | April 9, 2014 5 Comments